Al Orubah vs Al Anwar: match statistics
Al Orubah vs Al Anwar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Orubah played Al Anwar in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Al Orubah: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Al Anwar: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Orubah scores 1.61 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Al Anwar scores 1.58 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Orubah 55%, Al Anwar 73%. Over 2.5: Al Orubah 64%, Al Anwar 55%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Al Orubah has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.29. Al Orubah: 11.0 shots per match, Al Anwar: 10.6.
Match halves
Al Orubah: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.03. Al Anwar: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Al Orubah: 76-90+ (15 goals). Al Anwar: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a win for Al Orubah; the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scored 9 goals and conceded only 2, averaging 2.4 points over that period. Al Anwar have only 2 victories in their last 5 fixtures, also scored 10 goals but conceded as many as 10 and average just 1.2 points, which indicates greater defensive instability. The hosts also benefit in chance creation: Al Orubah average 11.19 shots and xG 1.31 with 55% possession in home games, while Al Anwar register 9.56 shots and xG 1.15 with 45% possession on the road. Defensively the hosts perform better — they concede 1.06 goals per home match on average and have an xG against of 1.10, versus 1.5 goals conceded and xG against 1.36 for the visitors; this season Al Orubah have conceded 37 goals compared to Al Anwar’s 51. Although Al Anwar rarely finish away matches goalless (13% of matches without scoring versus 38% for the hosts) and have a marginally better shot conversion (12% vs 11%), Al Orubah’s advantage in form, chance creation and defence gives them the greater probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season indicators clearly favor BTTS: Al Orubah has BTTS in 65% of matches, Al Anwar in 81%, and the league average is 62%, giving a combined teams’ average of 73% and suggesting an edge for the "both teams to score" option. In the last 5 games signals are mixed: Al Orubah has only 20% BTTS (1/5), while Al Anwar has 100% BTTS (5/5), so the visitors’ recent form strongly supports a Goal/Goal scenario. Scoring stats and xG reinforce this trend — Al Orubah averages 2.0 goals per game this season with xG 1.44 and in the last 5 matches had 1.8 scored and only 0.4 conceded (2 conceded), whereas Al Anwar seasonally averages 1.13 scored (xG 1.15) but in the last 5 averaged 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded (10 conceded), indicating the visitors regularly create chances and also concede them. Additionally Al Orubah registers more shots on target (4.76 vs 3.44) and has higher conversion rate (17% vs 12%), and both teams’ clean sheet rates are low (18% and 13%), so a clean sheet is unlikely. Considering the seasonal 65%/81% BTTS, the visitors’ 100% BTTS in the last 5, and the fact Al Anwar concedes on average 2.0 goals in the last 5, I forecast a 72% probability for BTTS - Yes and 28% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.40 expected goals for Al Orubah and 1.22 for Al Anwar (total 2.62), calculated as the average of team offensive xG and opponent defensive xG: 1.44 offensive xG for Al Orubah vs 1.36 xG that Al Anwar typically concedes; and 1.15 offensive xG for Al Anwar vs 1.29 xG that Al Orubah typically concedes. Seasonal metrics support these estimates: Al Orubah scores 2.0 goals per match on average and has 88% of matches Over 1.5 goals, Al Anwar scores 1.13 goals and has 94% Over 1.5 matches, while the league average is 2.93 goals per match. Additionally, both teams frequently allow goals from both sides – BTTS 65% for the home side and 81% for the away side – which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. From a Poisson distribution for total lambda=2.62, the probabilities are roughly: Over 1.5 ≈ 74%, Over 2.5 ≈ 49%, and Over 3.5 ≈ 27%. Consequently the strongest signal is an Over at the 1.5 line: high seasonal base rates (88%/94%) combined with an expected 2.62 goals give an edge to Over 1.5 compared to higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Orubah holds a clear offensive edge: average xG 1.44 versus the visitors' 1.15, 4.76 shots on target vs 3.44 and a season goals average 2.00 against 1.13, reflecting higher quality chances. In their last five matches the hosts were level at the break in 60% (3 of 5) and still won the match in 80% of those games (4 of 5), indicating decisive action after the interval. Second-half statistics support this: Al Orubah scores on average 1.24 goals after the break versus 0.50 for opponents and have netted 15 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to Al Anwar’s 5, so decisive strikes tend to come late. Additionally, the hosts’ conversion rate 17% vs the visitors’ 12% and an average of 11.65 shots attempted vs 9.56 increase the likelihood of a game that is level at the break and decided in Al Orubah’s favour after the break; therefore X/1 receives the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Orubah | Al Anwar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Orubah is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Al Orubah · 1.2 pts / match - Al Anwar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Orubah is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Al Orubah · 1.55 goals / match - Al Anwar
Al Orubah scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Al Anwar keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
Al Anwar scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Al Orubah keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Orubah
Over / Under - Al Anwar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Orubah is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Al Orubah · 1.24 pts / match - Al Anwar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Orubah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Anwar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Orubah
Al Anwar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Orubah | Liga | Al Anwar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 22% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Orubah 0 - 1 - 0 Al Anwar. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Orubah vs Al Anwar?
The First Division match finished Al Orubah 3:1 Al Anwar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Orubah vs Al Anwar?
Al Orubah score 1.61 goals per game on average and Al Anwar 1.58. The First Division average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Al Orubah's matches and 73% of Al Anwar's.
What form are Al Orubah and Al Anwar in?
Over the last 5 games Al Orubah have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Al Anwar 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Orubah vs Al Anwar?
The statistical background for Al Orubah vs Al Anwar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.