Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah: match statistics
Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Qadsia played Al Salmiyah in Kuwait Premier League (Kuwait). The match was played on 16 June 2026. Venue: Mohammed Al-Hammad Stadium. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Al Qadsia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Salmiyah: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Qadsia scores 1.78 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. Al Salmiyah scores 1.22 and concedes 0.61. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Qadsia 44%, Al Salmiyah 39%. Over 2.5: Al Qadsia 50%, Al Salmiyah 28%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Al Qadsia has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.27. Al Qadsia: 11.9 shots per match, Al Salmiyah: 9.3.
Match halves
Al Qadsia: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.00. Al Salmiyah: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Al Qadsia: 76-90+ (10 goals). Al Salmiyah: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kuwait Premier League: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Qadsia holds a clear home attacking advantage: they average 2.56 goals per match, 11.11 shots and 5.89 shots on target with a 23% conversion rate, whereas Al Salmiyah away records 1.11 goals, 9.44 total shots, 3.44 shots on target and 12% conversion. Last 5 matches also favor the hosts — Al Qadsia have 4 wins and 1 draw (8 scored, only 1 conceded; 2.6 points per game), while Al Salmiyah have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (7 scored, 2 conceded; 2.0 points per game). In terms of chance quality the hosts also look stronger: Al Qadsia xG is 1.52 versus the visitors’ xG of 1.26, while the visitors have a higher xG conceded (1.60 vs the hosts’ 1.19), suggesting Al Salmiyah more frequently allows better chances to opponents. There is, however, a balancing factor — Al Salmiyah keep 56% clean sheets away compared to the hosts’ 33% at home and sit 3rd in the table versus Al Qadsia’s 4th, so the outcome could be tight. Considering the offensive edge, superior recent form and higher efficiency of the hosts, I assign Al Qadsia a 60% probability to win, 20% for a draw and 20% for an Al Salmiyah win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate a lean towards the 'No' BTTS market: season BTTS rate is 33% for Al Qadsia and 44% for Al Salmiyah, both below the league average of 47%. Both teams keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches, meaning in over half of games at least one side concedes zero goals. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred only in 20% of cases for both sides; Al Qadsia conceded a total of 1 goal in those five matches (0.2 avg), and Al Salmiyah conceded 2 goals (0.4 avg), demonstrating the home side's defensive stability. Despite similar attacking xG (1.28 vs 1.26) and comparable shots (9.11 vs 9.44), low conversion rates (15% vs 12%) do not translate into more frequent Goal/Goal outcomes. Therefore I assess BTTS 'No' probability at 72% vs 28% for 'Yes', driven by the high clean sheet rates (56%) and very low BTTS occurrence in the last 5 matches (20%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate Al Qadsia will score about 1.44 goals (their xG_attack 1.28 vs Al Salmiyah’s average xG conceded 1.60), and Al Salmiyah about 1.25 goals (xG_attack 1.26 vs 1.23 xG conceded by the hosts), yielding a total expected 2.69 goals. Season averages are 1.33 goals for Al Qadsia and 1.11 for Al Salmiyah, and in the last 5 matches both teams averaged 1.6 and 1.4 goals respectively, confirming attacking form. Season percentages for matches over 1.5 are 56% for the home side and 67% for the visitors, while over 2.5 are only 33% and 22%, hence the signal points to a moderately high-scoring game but not extremely high. A probabilistic model with aggregate λ=2.69 gives roughly a 75% chance of over 1.5 goals, ~50% for over 2.5 and ~28% for over 3.5, therefore the strongest and most confident pick is Over 1.5. I recommend backing the over at the 1.5 line, since the expected 2.69 goals exceeds the 1.5 threshold by 1.19 goals and historical figures (56% vs 67% on Over1.5) support this decision.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Home teams lead at the break in 56% of matches and score an average of 0.89 goals in the first 45 minutes while conceding only 0.22, which strongly favors them after the break. Al Salmiyah averages 0.67 goals by half-time and concedes 0.33, and their conceded xG is 1.60 versus 1.23 for the hosts, highlighting a clearer defensive weakness for the visitors. Over the season Al Qadsia scores 1.33 goals on average and wins 56% of matches, while Al Salmiyah has 1.11 goals and 44% wins; in the last 5 matches the hosts have an 80% win rate versus 60% for the visitors, which reinforces the scenario of a full-time victory for the hosts. Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet at half-time in 78% of matches, and 78% of their first halves feature over 0.5 goals, which boosts the probability of a 1/1 Half-Time/Full-Time outcome. On this basis the most reliable signal is 1/1 (44%), while options with a away win are unlikely (seasonal full-time away win rate 11%), hence low values for 1/2 and 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Qadsia | Al Salmiyah | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Qadsia is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Al Qadsia · 1.22 goals / match - Al Salmiyah
Al Salmiyah is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - Al Qadsia · 0.61 goals / match - Al Salmiyah
Al Qadsia scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Al Salmiyah keeps a clean sheet in 56% (10 of 18 matches).
Al Salmiyah scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Al Qadsia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Qadsia
Over / Under - Al Salmiyah
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Salmiyah is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - Al Qadsia · 1.78 pts / match - Al Salmiyah
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Qadsia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Salmiyah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Qadsia
Al Salmiyah
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kuwait Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Qadsia | Liga | Al Salmiyah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.52 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al QadsiaGoalJasem Saleh Jasem Mohammad Al Mutar
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Al Qadsia 1 - 1 - 0 Al Salmiyah. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah?
The Kuwait Premier League match finished Al Qadsia 3:2 Al Salmiyah. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Qadsia and Al Salmiyah?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Qadsia won 1, Al Salmiyah won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah?
Al Qadsia score 1.78 goals per game on average and Al Salmiyah 1.22. The Kuwait Premier League average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Al Qadsia's matches and 39% of Al Salmiyah's.
What form are Al Qadsia and Al Salmiyah in?
Over the last 5 games Al Qadsia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Salmiyah 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.