Al Quadisiya vs Al Ittihad: match statistics

Al Quadisiya sit 2nd, while Al Ittihad are only 10th, which already points to a home advantage. In their last five matches, Al Quadisiya recorded 4 wins and scored 12 goals, conceding just 4, whereas Al Ittihad won 2, scored 11 goals and allowed their opponents 9. The hosts averaged 2.4 points per game during this period, clearly more than the visitors’ 1.6 points. Al Ittihad can pose an attacking threat, but two draws and a defeat in their last five outings, combined with a weaker defence, increase Al Quadisiya’s chances of making the most of home advantage. The season is still at a very early stage, so a draw remains a realistic outcome; however, the current trend clearly favours the hosts.

The BTTS pick is supported by the very strong scoring form of both teams: Al Quadisiya averaged 2.4 goals, while Al Ittihad averaged 2.2 goals in their last five matches. The visitors conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period, with 1.6 xG allowed to opponents, which clearly increases the hosts’ chances of scoring. Al Ittihad scored in each of their last five matches, with BTTS landing in 100% of them, while the hosts’ BTTS rate stands at 60%. However, Al Quadisiya have defended solidly, conceding only 0.8 goals per match and allowing 0.9 xG, so the probability of one side failing to score remains significant. Nevertheless, the combined attacking efficiency and the league-average BTTS rate of 67% point slightly but clearly towards a scenario in which both teams score.

Data from the last five matches indicates strong goal-scoring potential: Al Quadisiya averaged 2.4 goals, while Al Ittihad averaged 2.2. The hosts have an average xG of 1.59, while their opponents allowed an average of 1.60 xG and conceded 1.8 goals per match during this period. Al Ittihad scored in each of their last five appearances, while both teams went over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of those matches, respectively. The projected total of 3.05 goals clearly supports Over 1.5, as even with a partial drop in finishing efficiency, the current attacking form of both sides should be enough to produce at least two goals.

Al Quadisiya are in better recent form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and conceding just 0.8, while Al Ittihad allow opponents 1.8 goals per game. The hosts regularly start well, leading at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored before half-time and only 0.4 conceded. The visitors also frequently take the lead before the interval, doing so in 4 of their last 5 appearances, so the risk of an Al Ittihad lead at half-time remains significant. After the break, however, Al Quadisiya’s advantage is clear: they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in the second half, winning it in 60% of matches, while Al Ittihad lose the second half in 60% of cases and concede an average of 1.4 goals. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT 1/1 outcome, with the hosts using home advantage to take the lead before half-time and maintain it until the final whistle.