Al Raed vs Al Ula: match statistics
Al Ula demonstrates significantly better away form with a 57% away win rate and an impressive seasonal goal difference of 30:13. The visitors sit in 4th place and hold a positive goal difference of +9 in away matches, whereas Al Raed, in 8th position, shows weaker form, particularly in their last five matches (only 1 point per match). Al Ula is characterized by high efficiency (24% shot conversion) and solid defense (43% clean sheets away), outperforming the hosts in key aspects of the game. Al Raed's recent form (2 consecutive losses) and Al Ula's advantage in expected goals and scoring efficiency support a victory for the visitors.
Al Raed vs Al Ula: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Raed played Al Ula in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 7 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Al Raed: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Al Ula: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Raed scores 1.64 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Al Ula scores 2.14 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Raed 64%, Al Ula 64%. Over 2.5: Al Raed 50%, Al Ula 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Al Raed has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.39. Al Raed: 13.9 shots per match, Al Ula: 12.1.
Match halves
Al Raed: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.93. Al Ula: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Al Raed: 76-90+ (8 goals). Al Ula: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ula demonstrates significantly better away form with a 57% away win rate and an impressive seasonal goal difference of 30:13. The visitors sit in 4th place and hold a positive goal difference of +9 in away matches, whereas Al Raed, in 8th position, shows weaker form, particularly in their last five matches (only 1 point per match). Al Ula is characterized by high efficiency (24% shot conversion) and solid defense (43% clean sheets away), outperforming the hosts in key aspects of the game. Al Raed's recent form (2 consecutive losses) and Al Ula's advantage in expected goals and scoring efficiency support a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Raed | Al Ula | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ula is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Al Raed · 1.2 pts / match - Al Ula
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ula is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Al Raed · 2.14 goals / match - Al Ula
Al Ula is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Al Raed · 0.93 goals / match - Al Ula
Al Raed scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Al Ula keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Al Ula scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Al Raed keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Raed
Over / Under - Al Ula
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ula is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Al Raed · 2.43 pts / match - Al Ula
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Raed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ula - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Raed
Al Ula
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Raed | Liga | Al Ula | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.07 | 2.70 | ▲ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Raed vs Al Ula?
The First Division match finished Al Raed 3:2 Al Ula. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Raed vs Al Ula?
Al Raed score 1.64 goals per game on average and Al Ula 2.14. The First Division average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Al Raed's matches and 64% of Al Ula's.
What form are Al Raed and Al Ula in?
Over the last 5 games Al Raed have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Al Ula 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Raed vs Al Ula?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.