Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Rayyan performs significantly better at their home ground, achieving a 40% win rate and boasting a positive goal difference (+1). The hosts hold an advantage in average xG (1.51 vs 1.25) and utilize possession more effectively (60% vs 57%). Al Ahli shows serious problems in away matches – 63% losses, zero draws, and not a single clean sheet, indicating defensive struggles (averaging 1.75 goals conceded per match). Recent form over the last five games also favors the hosts (1-2-2 vs 1-1-3). Nevertheless, Al Rayyan is going through a weaker spell in recent home fixtures (2 defeats in the last 5), which could give the visitors a slight chance for a favorable result. Considering all statistics, an Al Rayyan victory is predicted, although a draw or an upset by the guests cannot be entirely ruled out.
Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Rayyan played Al Ahli in Stars League (Qatar). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Al Rayyan: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Al Ahli: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Rayyan scores 2.07 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Al Ahli scores 1.33 and concedes 2.20. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Rayyan 73%, Al Ahli 53%. Over 2.5: Al Rayyan 67%, Al Ahli 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Al Rayyan has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.33. Al Rayyan: 14.3 shots per match, Al Ahli: 10.6.
Match halves
Al Rayyan: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00. Al Ahli: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Al Rayyan: 31-45+ (11 goals). Al Ahli: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Rayyan performs significantly better at their home ground, achieving a 40% win rate and boasting a positive goal difference (+1). The hosts hold an advantage in average xG (1.51 vs 1.25) and utilize possession more effectively (60% vs 57%). Al Ahli shows serious problems in away matches – 63% losses, zero draws, and not a single clean sheet, indicating defensive struggles (averaging 1.75 goals conceded per match). Recent form over the last five games also favors the hosts (1-2-2 vs 1-1-3). Nevertheless, Al Rayyan is going through a weaker spell in recent home fixtures (2 defeats in the last 5), which could give the visitors a slight chance for a favorable result. Considering all statistics, an Al Rayyan victory is predicted, although a draw or an upset by the guests cannot be entirely ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Rayyan | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Rayyan is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Al Rayyan · 0.6 pts / match - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Rayyan is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
2.07 goals / match - Al Rayyan · 1.33 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Rayyan is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Al Rayyan · 2.2 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Rayyan scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).
Al Ahli scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Al Rayyan keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Rayyan
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Rayyan is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Al Rayyan · 0.93 pts / match - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Rayyan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Rayyan
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Rayyan | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 3.29 | ▲ 3.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 85% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Rayyan 1 - 0 - 0 Al Ahli. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli?
The Stars League match finished Al Rayyan 2:1 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli?
Al Rayyan score 2.07 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 1.33. The Stars League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Al Rayyan's matches and 53% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Rayyan and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Rayyan have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Ahli 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.