Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal: match statistics
Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Rayyan played Umm Salal in Stars League (Qatar). The match was played on 8 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Al Rayyan: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Umm Salal: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Rayyan scores 1.95 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Umm Salal scores 1.80 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Rayyan 80%, Umm Salal 70%. Over 2.5: Al Rayyan 70%, Umm Salal 85%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Al Rayyan has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.34. Al Rayyan: 14.0 shots per match, Umm Salal: 11.3.
Match halves
Al Rayyan: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.05. Umm Salal: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Al Rayyan: 76-90+ (16 goals). Umm Salal: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.32 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (Al Rayyan). At home Al Rayyan scores 1.44 goals and concedes 1.22 per match, with home xG 1.58 vs xG against 1.23, indicating a positive chance-creation balance and superior defensive control. Umm Salal away scores an average of 2.00 goals but concedes as many as 2.40 per match (xG against 2.26) and has a 70% away loss rate, which significantly undermines their prospects. Additionally, the hosts dominate possession (60% vs 38%), attempt more shots (13.89 vs 11.1) and slightly more on-target (4.67 vs 4.3), despite the visitors having a higher shot conversion rate (18% vs 10%). Both teams average 1.6 points per match over the last 5 fixtures, but Al Rayyan’s superior defensive metrics and xG (+2 home goal difference vs Umm Salal’s -4 away) lead me to favor the home side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics strongly support BTTS - Yes: both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 70%, versus a league average of 60%. In the last 5 matches Al Rayyan records BTTS in 80% (avg 2.0 scored, 1.4 conceded), and Umm Salal 60% (avg 2.4 scored, 1.6 conceded), indicating both sides regularly score and concede. Seasonal averages confirm vulnerability to goals: Al Rayyan scores 1.6 and concedes 2.6, Umm Salal scores 2.0 and concedes 2.4, with xG_for 1.39 vs 1.29 and xG_against 1.96 vs 2.26 — additionally Umm Salal have conceded 50 goals this season compared to Al Rayyan’s 32. The percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 80% (home) and 90% (away), and the over2.5 + BTTS combination occurs in 70% of both teams’ fixtures; both teams have only 20% clean sheets this season. Given these figures I tip BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 85% versus 15% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects a total of approximately 3.46 goals: 1.83 for Al Rayyan and 1.63 for Umm Salal, calculated as the average of the team’s attacking xG and opponent xG ((1.39+2.26)/2 ≈ 1.83 for the home side; (1.29+1.96)/2 ≈ 1.63 for the visitors). Seasonal indicators strongly support goals: Over 1.5 occurred in 90% of matches for both teams, while Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of Al Rayyan’s games and 90% of Umm Salal’s. Additionally, both teams have BTTS at 70% and the Over 2.5 + BTTS combination has appeared in 70% of cases; in the last 5 matches the home team averaged 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded (3.4 total), and the visitors 2.4 and 1.6 (4.0 total), which increases the likelihood of goal exchanges. Considering the above and the league average of 3.32 goals per game, I recommend as the strongest signal a play on Over 2.5 (I estimate ≈84% probability for Over 2.5; Over 1.5 ≈96%; Over 3.5 ≈56%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics show Umm Salal led at the break in 50% of the season’s matches versus 30% for Al Rayyan, while Al Rayyan trailed at the break in 40% of matches and as much as 60% in the last five games. At the same time Al Rayyan have very strong second halves: over the last five matches they averaged 2.4 points after the break and won the second half in 80% of cases. Umm Salal, by contrast, have a negative second-half goal differential (-9) and frequently concede after the break, particularly late — conceding 9 goals in minutes 76–90, whereas Al Rayyan scored 5 in that period. Additionally, xG shows similar chance production: xG 1.39 for Al Rayyan versus 1.29 for Umm Salal, with xG against 1.96 vs 2.26, which points to a match with goals and the possibility of a turnaround. On this basis the strongest signal is Umm Salal leading at half-time and Al Rayyan winning full-time (the 2/1 scenario), so that is my pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Rayyan | Umm Salal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Umm Salal is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Al Rayyan · 1.6 pts / match - Umm Salal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Rayyan is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Al Rayyan · 1.8 goals / match - Umm Salal
Al Rayyan is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Al Rayyan · 2.5 goals / match - Umm Salal
Al Rayyan scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Umm Salal keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Umm Salal scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Al Rayyan keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Rayyan
Over / Under - Umm Salal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Umm Salal is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Al Rayyan · 1.55 pts / match - Umm Salal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Rayyan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Umm Salal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Rayyan
Umm Salal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Rayyan | Liga | Umm Salal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.55 | 3.32 | ▲ 4.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▲ 85% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 87% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Rayyan 1 - 0 - 0 Umm Salal. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?
The Stars League match finished Al Rayyan 3:0 Umm Salal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?
Al Rayyan score 1.95 goals per game on average and Umm Salal 1.80. The Stars League average is 3.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Al Rayyan's matches and 70% of Umm Salal's.
What form are Al Rayyan and Umm Salal in?
Over the last 5 games Al Rayyan have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Umm Salal 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.