Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr: match statistics
Al Nassr are the clear favorites in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season. The visitors are in dominant away form with a 67% win rate and an average of 2.44 goals per game, while maintaining a 44% clean sheet rate. Al Riyadh are in a difficult situation in 15th place, with only 2 wins this season and a negative goal difference (-4) at home. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, averaging only 0.6 points per game, while Al Nassr are in excellent form with 2.4 points per match. The huge difference in possession (43% vs 60%), shot accuracy, and xG indicators (1.4 vs 2.14) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Considering all statistics, an Al Nassr victory is the most likely outcome.
Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Riyadh played Al Nassr in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 2 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Al Riyadh: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Al Nassr: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Riyadh scores 1.00 and concedes 2.11 goals per match. Al Nassr scores 2.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Riyadh 78%, Al Nassr 61%. Over 2.5: Al Riyadh 56%, Al Nassr 78%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nassr has higher xG: 2.19 vs 1.30. Al Riyadh: 11.2 shots per match, Al Nassr: 19.2.
Match halves
Al Riyadh: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. Al Nassr: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 1.56.
Goals by minute
Al Riyadh: 16-30 (6 goals). Al Nassr: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Nassr are the clear favorites in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season. The visitors are in dominant away form with a 67% win rate and an average of 2.44 goals per game, while maintaining a 44% clean sheet rate. Al Riyadh are in a difficult situation in 15th place, with only 2 wins this season and a negative goal difference (-4) at home. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, averaging only 0.6 points per game, while Al Nassr are in excellent form with 2.4 points per match. The huge difference in possession (43% vs 60%), shot accuracy, and xG indicators (1.4 vs 2.14) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Considering all statistics, an Al Nassr victory is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Riyadh | Al Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Nassr is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Al Riyadh · 2.4 pts / match - Al Nassr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr is 167% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Al Riyadh · 2.67 goals / match - Al Nassr
Al Nassr is 111% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.11 goals / match - Al Riyadh · 1 goals / match - Al Nassr
Al Riyadh scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Al Nassr scores in 100% of matches (18 of 18 matches), while Al Riyadh keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Riyadh
Over / Under - Al Nassr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nassr is 131% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Al Riyadh · 2.17 pts / match - Al Nassr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Riyadh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Riyadh
Al Nassr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Riyadh | Liga | Al Nassr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.11 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 22% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Riyadh 0 - 0 - 1 Al Nassr. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
The Professional League match finished Al Riyadh 0:1 Al Nassr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Al Riyadh score 1.00 goals per game on average and Al Nassr 2.67. The Professional League average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Al Riyadh's matches and 61% of Al Nassr's.
What form are Al Riyadh and Al Nassr in?
Over the last 5 games Al Riyadh have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Al Nassr 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.