Al Shabab vs Al Quadisiya: match statistics

Al Quadisiya are showing significantly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Al Shabab have suffered 4 defeats in their last five games. During this period, the visitors scored 12 goals—an average of 2.4 per match—while conceding just 4. Al Shabab have scored only 7 goals, while their defence has conceded as many as 14, averaging 2.8 goals allowed per game. The difference in points accumulated over the last five league rounds—2.4 points per game for the visitors compared with 0.6 for the hosts—clearly indicates Al Quadisiya’s advantage. Given the visitors’ attacking efficiency and Al Shabab’s defensive problems, an away win is the most likely outcome.

Al Shabab have averaged 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches, but those goals came against an opponent that conceded just 0.8 goals per game over the same period. Al Quadisiya possess significantly greater attacking potential, averaging 2.4 goals with an xG of 1.51, while Al Shabab conceded as many as 2.8 goals per match. The visitors should therefore have a good chance of scoring, but the key question is whether the hosts can find the net against an Al Quadisiya defence with an average xG conceded of just 0.94. BTTS - Yes landed in 80% of Al Shabab's last matches and 60% of Al Quadisiya's, but the visitors' defensive advantage and the hosts' lower scoring efficiency slightly strengthen the BTTS - No scenario, meaning that at least one team fails to score. This does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

In their last five matches, Al Shabab averaged 1.4 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.8 per game, which significantly increases Al Quadisiya’s chances of producing an effective attacking performance. The visitors are in strong form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals in the process—2.4 per game—while conceding just 4. Al Shabab recorded at least 3 total goals in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Al Quadisiya, making the projected total of 2.90 goals justified. The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals, as the visitors’ attack, valued at 1.51 xG, faces a home defense allowing an average of 1.44 xG. The 2.5 line also offers value, but greater uncertainty surrounding Al Shabab’s contribution makes Over 1.5 goals the safer choice.

Al Quadisiya have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.4 goals per game, while Al Shabab have lost 4 of their last 5 and conceded an average of 2.8 goals. The strongest signal concerns the first half: the visitors were leading at the break in 60% of their recent appearances, while the hosts were behind after 45 minutes in as many as 80%. Al Quadisiya averaged 1.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded before half-time, compared with Al Shabab’s 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. After the interval, the visitors retain the advantage, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, making the HT/FT scenario of Al Quadisiya leading at the break and winning at full-time the most likely outcome.