Al Shamal vs Umm Salal: match statistics
Al Shamal vs Umm Salal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Shamal played Umm Salal in Stars League (Qatar). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Al Shamal: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Umm Salal: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Shamal scores 1.72 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Umm Salal scores 1.79 and concedes 2.47. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Shamal 44%, Umm Salal 68%. Over 2.5: Al Shamal 56%, Umm Salal 84%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Al Shamal has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.36. Al Shamal: 15.1 shots per match, Umm Salal: 11.5.
Match halves
Al Shamal: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Umm Salal: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Al Shamal: 76-90+ (8 goals). Umm Salal: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Shamal are the favorites for this match: in the last 5 games they have 4 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.4 points per game in that period, and at home they score 1.78 goals and concede 1.33 on average. Chance-creation metrics favor the hosts — their home xG is 1.73 versus the visitors’ away xG of 1.31, and they also produce more shots (15.11 vs 11.44) and more shots on target (5.33 vs 4.44). Umm Salal, however, show clear finishing efficiency: they average 2.0 goals away with a conversion rate of 17% (Al Shamal 12%) and have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, so they can capitalize on their opportunities. Defensively the hosts look better — they have kept a clean sheet in 44% of home games, while the visitors record 22% clean sheets away and concede 2.33 goals on average on the road. Considering the advantage in chance creation (xG 1.73 vs 1.31), the hosts’ superior defense and the form of 4 wins in 5, I project an Al Shamal victory, although I expect Umm Salal to find the net as well.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong seasonal BTTS rates: Al Shamal 70% and Umm Salal 67% (league average 59%), favoring a "both teams to score" scenario. Defenses are vulnerable — Al Shamal concedes 2.6 goals per match, Umm Salal 2.33, while scoring 1.6 and 2.0 respectively, so both sides statistically score and concede. In the last 5 matches Umm Salal scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and conceded 7 (1.4), Al Shamal scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 5 (1.0); xG confirms this picture: xG for home 1.39 vs away 1.31, and xG against 1.96 vs 2.33. Additionally, 80% of Al Shamal matches and 89% of Umm Salal matches finish over 2.5 goals, and the combination of over 2.5 goals and BTTS occurs for both teams in 70% and 67% of cases, further supporting a goals-from-both-sides outcome. Based on this I tip BTTS - Yes with 80% probability and 20% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have offensive profiles and leaky defenses: Al Shamal scores 1.6 and concedes 2.6 on average, Umm Salal scores 2.0 and concedes 2.33 per match. Home xG is 1.39, while xG against Umm Salal is 2.33 — averaging to ~1.86 expected goals for Al Shamal; similarly, away xG is 1.31 versus xG against Al Shamal 1.96 gives ~1.64 for Umm Salal, totaling ~3.50 goals. Season-long Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of Al Shamal’s matches and 89% of Umm Salal’s (average 84.5%), and in the last 5 meetings both teams exceeded 2.5 in 60% of games, confirming a propensity for high-scoring affairs. Additionally, both teams scored in 70% and 67% of matches, while clean sheets occurred in only 20% and 22% of games, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. As a result, the best line to play is Over 2.5 (estimated probability ≈78%), Over 1.5 is virtually certain (~95%), whereas Over 3.5 remains moderately likely (~54%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 2/1 (Umm Salal leading at half-time, Al Shamal winning full-time). Umm Salal led at the break in 5 matches (56%), while Al Shamal were trailing at the break in 4 matches (40%), indicating a propensity for the visitors to be ahead at the break. However, the second half favors the home side: Al Shamal scored 5 goals in minutes 76–90, whereas Umm Salal conceded as many as 9 goals in that interval; additionally, Umm Salal concede on average 2.0 goals after the break versus 1.5 for the hosts. The last 5 matches confirm the hosts’ strength (4 wins, 80% win rate, and leading at the break in 60% of those games), so I expect that despite Umm Salal holding a lead at the break, the hosts will complete a turnaround in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Shamal | Umm Salal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Umm Salal is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Al Shamal · 2.2 pts / match - Umm Salal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Shamal is 111% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Al Shamal · 2.47 goals / match - Umm Salal
Al Shamal scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Umm Salal keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Umm Salal scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Al Shamal keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Shamal
Over / Under - Umm Salal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Umm Salal is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Al Shamal · 1.63 pts / match - Umm Salal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Shamal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Umm Salal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Shamal
Umm Salal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Shamal | Liga | Umm Salal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.89 | 3.30 | ▲ 4.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 84% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 87% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Shamal 1 - 0 - 0 Umm Salal. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?
The Stars League match finished Al Shamal 3:2 Umm Salal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?
Al Shamal score 1.72 goals per game on average and Umm Salal 1.79. The Stars League average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Al Shamal's matches and 68% of Umm Salal's.
What form are Al Shamal and Umm Salal in?
Over the last 5 games Al Shamal have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Umm Salal 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.