Al Taawon vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Taawon vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Taawon played Al Ahli in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 11 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Al Taawon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Ahli: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Taawon scores 1.84 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Al Ahli scores 2.00 and concedes 0.74. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Taawon 65%, Al Ahli 45%. Over 2.5: Al Taawon 55%, Al Ahli 48%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahli has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.28. Al Taawon: 11.3 shots per match, Al Ahli: 13.0.
Match halves
Al Taawon: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.03. Al Ahli: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
Al Taawon: 61-75 (14 goals). Al Ahli: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahli are the clear favorites: they have 22 wins this season versus Al Taawon’s 15 and have won 4 of their last 5, averaging 2.4 pts/match over the last five, while Al Taawon have won 2 of 5 and average 1.4 pts/match. The visitors’ defense makes the difference — Al Ahli concede just 0.67 goals on average away and record 67% clean sheets on the road, whereas the hosts concede 1.4 goals at home and have only 27% clean sheets. The home side do attack effectively at home: 1.8 goals per match with 12.67 shots and 4 on target, and a 14% conversion rate, compared to the visitors’ 1.33 goals away and 12% conversion, so Al Taawon are slightly more efficient in front of goal. xG also points to Al Ahli’s defensive edge — visitors’ average away xG for is 1.4 with xG against 0.88, while the hosts have xG for 1.39 and xG against 1.24, suggesting fewer high-quality chances for Al Taawon. Considering the visitors’ sustained strong form and the large gap in average goals conceded (0.67 vs 1.4) as well as Al Ahli’s 60% away win rate versus the hosts’ 47% home win rate, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "yes" scenario is more likely: Al Taawon averages 2.63 goals per home game (xG_for 1.78), has a season BTTS rate of 63% and BTTS in the last 5 matches of 80%. Al Ahli averages 1.33 goals away (xG_for 1.4) this season and has scored an average of 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches, so they have realistic scoring potential despite a lower seasonal BTTS. Against this stands a high clean sheet rate for the away side (67%) and an average of 0.67 goals conceded by away teams per match, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally, the league has a season BTTS of 59% and an average of 3.05 goals per game; the home side averages 6.06 shots on target and has a conversion rate of 18%, increasing the probability that Al Taawon will score, while xG stats (1.78 vs 1.4) also indicate chances for the visitors. Considering the home offensive superiority (2.63 vs 1.33), recent BTTS forms (80% vs 40% in the last 5) and the league’s 59% BTTS, I predict BTTS - Yes with approximately a 65% probability.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
My forecast is based on xG: Al Taawon generates 1.78 xG at home, Al Ahli has 1.40 xG away, and opponents’ defenses concede xG against of 0.88 (Al Ahli) and 1.06 (Al Taawon); combining these values and adjusting for approx. a 9% home advantage yields 1.45 expected goals for Al Taawon and 1.13 for Al Ahli (total 2.58). Seasonal averages confirm the home side’s offensive role: Al Taawon scores 2.63 goals on average at home and has 69% of matches Over 2.5, while Al Ahli scores 1.33 away and has only 27% Over 2.5 and 67% clean sheets on the road. A Poisson distribution for a total of 2.58 gives probabilities of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈73%, Over 2.5 ≈48% and Over 3.5 ≈26%, consistent with seasonal rates (home Over1.5 94% vs away 47%, home Over2.5 69% vs away 27%). Additionally, Al Taawon has a higher shot conversion 18% vs 12% for Al Ahli and averages 14.5 shots per match vs 11.4 for the visitors, increasing the hosts’ scoring chances. For these reasons the strongest data signal is Over 1.5 (selection: over, line 1.5) — it has the highest probability (73%) and is supported by xG advantage and shot volume.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Taawon led at the break in 9 home matches (56%) and averages 0.94 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the first half, while Al Ahli averages 0.67 scored and 0.20 conceded in the first half, giving the hosts an early advantage. Additionally, Al Taawon posts a higher xG of 1.78 versus the visitors' 1.4, more shots on target 6.06 vs 4.4 and a better conversion rate of 18% vs 12%, which increases the chance of a goal before the break. Over the full match the hosts score an average of 2.63 goals at home and win 81% of games, and in the second half they average 1.69 goals and have 75% wins in second halves; therefore the scenario of leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) looks strongest. At the same time Al Ahli have an 80% win rate and 67% clean sheets in their last 5 away matches, so I keep weight on alternatives X/1 (11%) and 2/2 (12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Taawon | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahli is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Al Taawon · 2 pts / match - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.84 goals / match - Al Taawon · 2 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Al Taawon · 0.74 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Taawon scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 52% (16 of 31 matches).
Al Ahli scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Al Taawon keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Taawon
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahli is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Al Taawon · 1.77 pts / match - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Taawon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Taawon
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Taawon | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.16 | 3.04 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 81% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Taawon 0 - 0 - 1 Al Ahli. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Taawon vs Al Ahli?
The Professional League match finished Al Taawon 1:2 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Taawon vs Al Ahli?
Al Taawon score 1.84 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 2.00. The Professional League average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Al Taawon's matches and 45% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Taawon and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Taawon have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Ahli 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Taawon vs Al Ahli?
The statistical background for Al Taawon vs Al Ahli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.