Al Ula vs Abha: match statistics
Al Ula vs Abha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ula played Abha in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 9 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Al Ula: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Abha: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ula scores 2.30 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Abha scores 2.11 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ula 59%, Abha 63%. Over 2.5: Al Ula 67%, Abha 59%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Abha has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.59. Al Ula: 13.6 shots per match, Abha: 13.1.
Match halves
Al Ula: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.93. Abha: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
Al Ula: 31-45+ (21 goals). Abha: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2). Abha’s season record is 21-5-1 versus Al Ula’s 17-7-3, giving the visitors a clear advantage in overall form. On the road Abha wins 85% of matches, averaging 2.08 goals scored and 0.69 conceded, while the home side averages 2.54 scored and 0.77 conceded; Al Ula also produces a higher home xG (1.80 vs 1.63 for Abha away), demonstrating their offensive strength, although Abha has the more stable defense. In the last 5 matches Al Ula scored 15 goals (3.0 per game) and conceded 4, while Abha scored 9 and also conceded 4, indicating greater finishing efficiency for the hosts (conversion 16% vs 14%) with comparable defensive form. Considering Abha’s season 21-5-1, 0% FTS for both teams and a higher away win percentage, I give the visitors the edge (45%), the hosts 30% and a 25% chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams exhibit high seasonal BTTS rates: Al Ula 64% and Abha 62%, versus a league average of 62%, indicating frequent Goal/Goal outcomes. Season-long averages show Al Ula scoring 2.14 and conceding 0.86, and Abha scoring 2.08 and conceding 0.69 — both offenses are productive despite moderate clean sheet expected rates (36% and 38%). xG supports this picture — Al Ula xG 1.61 and Abha xG 1.63 against xG conceded 1.11 and 1.02, meaning both teams regularly generate ~1.6 xG. In the last 5 matches Al Ula has 60% BTTS with averages of 3.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, while Abha has 80% BTTS with 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded; additionally average shots (11.71 vs 14.62), shots on target (5.0 vs 5.31) and conversion 18% vs 14% increase the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering these numbers I assign 75% to BTTS - Yes and 25% to No, therefore I recommend the Yes market as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have high goal averages: Al Ula 2.14 goals per game and Abha 2.08 goals per game with average goals conceded 0.86 and 0.69 respectively. Attacking xG is 1.61 (Al Ula) and 1.63 (Abha), while xG against is 1.02 and 1.11, yielding expected ~1.32 goals for the home side and ~1.37 for the away side (total 2.69). Season percentages for over 1.5 are very high: 93% for Al Ula and 92% for Abha, and Al Ula scores an average of 3.0 goals in the last 5 matches, so I rate Over 1.5 at 94% probability. Over 2.5 has moderate support (64% Al Ula, 54% Abha, league average over2.5 = 60%), therefore I assign it 62% probability, while Over 3.5 has weaker basis (36% and 23% seasonally) and is only about ~30% likely. Additionally, 64% and 62% of these teams’ matches end with both teams scoring, which reinforces the minimum-two-goal scenario and justifies choosing Over 1.5 as the best line to play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A key signal is the visitors' dominance in first halves: Abha led at the break in 10 matches (77% of their games), while Al Ula led only in 7 matches (50%). The visitors score on average 1.00 goal by half-time versus 0.86 for the home side, and concede only 0.23 goals before the break compared to Al Ula’s 0.36, giving Abha an advantage in the first half. Over the full match Abha wins 85% of games versus 71% for Al Ula, so statistically the visitors holding their lead is likely. Nonetheless Al Ula are dangerous after the break — they average 1.29 goals in second halves and record 79% wins in second halves, which justifies a smaller but tangible chance of a turnaround. Therefore my primary projection is the visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time (2/2) with a 38% probability, with 12% assigned to 2/X and 12% to 2/1 as the main alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ula | Abha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ula is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Al Ula · 2.2 pts / match - Abha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ula is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
2.3 goals / match - Al Ula · 2.11 goals / match - Abha
Abha is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Al Ula · 0.78 goals / match - Abha
Al Ula scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Abha keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Abha scores in 96% of matches (26 of 27 matches), while Al Ula keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ula
Over / Under - Abha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ula is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Al Ula · 2.15 pts / match - Abha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ula - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 63%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Abha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ula
Abha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Ula | Liga | Abha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.94 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 62% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 59% | • 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 22% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ula 0 - 0 - 1 Abha. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ula vs Abha?
The First Division match finished Al Ula 1:2 Abha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ula vs Abha?
Al Ula score 2.30 goals per game on average and Abha 2.11. The First Division average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Al Ula's matches and 63% of Abha's.
What form are Al Ula and Abha in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ula have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Abha 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ula vs Abha?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.