Alajuelense vs San Carlos: match statistics
Alajuelense presents a decisive advantage in home matches, winning 67% of games with only 8% losses and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of cases. The hosts score an average of 1.83 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.67, giving them an impressive goal difference of +14 in home games. San Carlos performs very poorly on the road, losing as many as 60% of matches, keeping zero clean sheets, and conceding an average of 1.8 goals while scoring just 1.2. Additionally, the guests have a negative goal difference of -6 in away games, and their shooting efficiency (3.2 shots on target per match) is significantly lower than that of the hosts (5.33). The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1.2 points per match each), but Alajuelense's dominance in home matches and San Carlos's weakness on the road clearly point to a victory for the hosts.
Alajuelense vs San Carlos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alajuelense played San Carlos in Primera División FPD (Costa Rica). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Alajuelense: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. San Carlos: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alajuelense scores 1.64 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. San Carlos scores 0.90 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alajuelense 44%, San Carlos 43%. Over 2.5: Alajuelense 40%, San Carlos 43%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Alajuelense has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.00. Alajuelense: 12.3 shots per match, San Carlos: 8.5.
Match halves
Alajuelense: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80. San Carlos: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Alajuelense: 76-90+ (11 goals). San Carlos: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División FPD: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alajuelense presents a decisive advantage in home matches, winning 67% of games with only 8% losses and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of cases. The hosts score an average of 1.83 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.67, giving them an impressive goal difference of +14 in home games. San Carlos performs very poorly on the road, losing as many as 60% of matches, keeping zero clean sheets, and conceding an average of 1.8 goals while scoring just 1.2. Additionally, the guests have a negative goal difference of -6 in away games, and their shooting efficiency (3.2 shots on target per match) is significantly lower than that of the hosts (5.33). The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1.2 points per match each), but Alajuelense's dominance in home matches and San Carlos's weakness on the road clearly point to a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alajuelense | San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alajuelense is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Alajuelense · 0.9 goals / match - San Carlos
Alajuelense is 132% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Alajuelense · 1.67 goals / match - San Carlos
Alajuelense scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while San Carlos keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
San Carlos scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Alajuelense keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alajuelense
Over / Under - San Carlos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alajuelense is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Alajuelense · 0.95 pts / match - San Carlos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alajuelense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
San Carlos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alajuelense
San Carlos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División FPD).
Teams vs league
| Alajuelense | Liga | San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.36 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 32% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Alajuelense 2 - 0 - 0 San Carlos. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alajuelense vs San Carlos?
The Primera División FPD match finished Alajuelense 1:0 San Carlos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alajuelense and San Carlos?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Alajuelense won 2, San Carlos won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alajuelense vs San Carlos?
Alajuelense score 1.64 goals per game on average and San Carlos 0.90. The Primera División FPD average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Alajuelense's matches and 43% of San Carlos's.
What form are Alajuelense and San Carlos in?
Over the last 5 games Alajuelense have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and San Carlos 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alajuelense vs San Carlos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alajuelense vs San Carlos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.