Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor: match statistics
Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alanyaspor played Kayserispor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Alanyaspor: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Kayserispor: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alanyaspor scores 1.16 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Kayserispor scores 0.75 and concedes 1.81. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alanyaspor 59%, Kayserispor 47%. Over 2.5: Alanyaspor 44%, Kayserispor 47%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Alanyaspor has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.33. Alanyaspor: 12.5 shots per match, Kayserispor: 12.1.
Match halves
Alanyaspor: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.66. Kayserispor: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Alanyaspor: 76-90+ (12 goals). Kayserispor: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alanyaspor holds a clear advantage in key home metrics: they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, with 50% of home games ending in a clean sheet, whereas Kayserispor average only 0.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded on the road. The difference in chance quality also favors the hosts: Alanyaspor’s home xG is 1.48 versus visitors’ away xG of 1.20, while the average xG against Kayserispor away is 1.84, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for the guests. Additionally, Alanyaspor averages 4.44 shots on target per match versus Kayserispor’s 3.88 and has a higher conversion rate (9% vs 6%); season goal totals of 37 for Alanyaspor to 24 for Kayserispor further confirm the hosts’ offensive superiority. Recent form is weak for both sides: each team has scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches, with Alanyaspor earning 0.4 points per game in that span and Kayserispor 0.8 points, which slightly reduces the hosts’ edge. Considering Alanyaspor’s home record (31% home wins) against the visitors’ low away win rate (6%), I assess the probability of an Alanyaspor win at 65%, a draw at 20%, and a Kayserispor win at 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate BTTS as the more likely outcome, assigning 60% to “yes” (BTTS - Yes) and 40% to “no” (No Goal). Seasonal BTTS rates are 44% for Alanyaspor and 50% for Kayserispor, versus a league average of 55%, indicating a moderate scoring propensity for both sides. xG shows Alanyaspor generates 1.45 xG per match and Kayserispor 1.20 xG, with xG against at 1.36 and 1.84 respectively; combined with a low shot conversion rate (6.0%) this suggests scoring opportunities are created on both ends. Additionally, both teams rarely keep a clean sheet (25% and 19% this season) and concede on average 1.94 and 1.69 goals per match over the season; in the last 5 matches they concede 1.6 and 2.0 goals on average, which increases the likelihood both teams will score. Lower BTTS in the last 5 matches (40% and 20%) and a low goals-per-game in the last 5 (0.6 and 0.6) reduce confidence, hence a moderate stake on “yes.”
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-and-defensive-stats model prices expected goals at 1.65 for Alanyaspor (xG_for 1.45 vs xG_conceded Kayserispor 1.84) and 1.28 for Kayserispor (xG_for 1.20 vs xG_conceded Alanyaspor 1.36), totaling 2.93 goals. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.93 yields approximately a 79% chance of Over 1.5 goals and about 56% for Over 2.5 goals; this is supported by seasonal Over1.5 rates of 81% (home) and 75% (away) and Over2.5 at 56% vs 38%. Alanyaspor averages 13.5 shots and 3.75 on target per match, Kayserispor 10.69 shots and 3.88 on target, with a combined conversion rate of 6.0% for both, indicating realistic scoring potential. Both defenses are vulnerable: Alanyaspor concedes 1.94 goals at home, Kayserispor 1.69 away, and BTTS seasonally is 44% vs 50%, so the likelihood of goals from both sides is moderate. Consequently the strongest play is Over 1.5 (probability ~79%), while the 2.5 line (56%) and 3.5 (34%) are less convincing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect a draw at Half-Time, because Alanyaspor averages only 0.13 goals by the break and Kayserispor 0.00, and the home side led at the break in only 6% of matches (guests 0%). In the second half the situation favors Alanyaspor: the home xG is 1.45 versus 1.20 for the visitors, while Kayserispor concedes 1.84 xG, so the hosts are creating clearly better chances. Additionally, Alanyaspor averages 13.5 shots per match versus 10.69 for Kayserispor and has 94% of matches with at least one goal after the break (guests 88%), and the hosts scored 8 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 3 for the visitors, indicating their propensity to decide games in the late stages. For these reasons the strongest signal is a Half-Time draw and a home win at Full-Time (X/1), while draw/draw (X/X) I treat as the second most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alanyaspor | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kayserispor is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Alanyaspor · 0.8 pts / match - Kayserispor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alanyaspor is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Alanyaspor · 0.75 goals / match - Kayserispor
Alanyaspor is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Alanyaspor · 1.81 goals / match - Kayserispor
Alanyaspor scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Kayserispor keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Kayserispor scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Alanyaspor keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alanyaspor
Over / Under - Kayserispor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alanyaspor is 183% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Alanyaspor · 0.53 pts / match - Kayserispor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alanyaspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kayserispor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Alanyaspor | Liga | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.34 | 2.61 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Alanyaspor 0 - 1 - 0 Kayserispor. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
The Süper Lig match finished Alanyaspor 3:1 Kayserispor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
Alanyaspor score 1.16 goals per game on average and Kayserispor 0.75. The Süper Lig average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Alanyaspor's matches and 47% of Kayserispor's.
What form are Alanyaspor and Kayserispor in?
Over the last 5 games Alanyaspor have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Kayserispor 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
The statistical background for Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.