AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese: match statistics
AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AlbinoLeffe played Pergolettese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
AlbinoLeffe: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Pergolettese: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AlbinoLeffe scores 1.29 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Pergolettese scores 0.94 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AlbinoLeffe 59%, Pergolettese 50%. Over 2.5: AlbinoLeffe 50%, Pergolettese 41%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Pergolettese has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.33. AlbinoLeffe: 10.1 shots per match, Pergolettese: 10.6.
Match halves
AlbinoLeffe: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.71. Pergolettese: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
AlbinoLeffe: 61-75 (10 goals). Pergolettese: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AlbinoLeffe is the favorite in this match, as at home they average 1.41 goals with an xG of 1.48 and 56% possession, while Pergolettese on the road record only 0.94 goals with xG 1.32 and 47% possession. The hosts average 10.94 shots with 3.82 on target per match and have a higher conversion rate of 13% versus the visitors' 9.82 shots, 3.29 on target and 10% conversion, suggesting an advantage in quality and chance conversion. Defensively AlbinoLeffe concedes 1.29 goals per home match and just 3 goals in the last 5 games, whereas Pergolettese concedes 1.35 away and 6 goals in the last 5, with an away goal difference of -7. Additionally, the hosts average 2.0 points in their last five matches compared to Pergolettese's 1.4, and the visitors fail to score in 41% of away games versus 24% for the hosts. Considering the xG advantage (1.48 vs 1.32), better conversion (13% vs 10%) and stronger form, I forecast an AlbinoLeffe win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Pergolettese has a seasonal BTTS rate of 59% versus AlbinoLeffe's 41% and a league average of 50%, signaling a clear lean toward the visitors. Both teams concede over 1.2 goals per match: AlbinoLeffe 1.29 and Pergolettese 1.35, while clean sheet rates are only 18% and 12%, so the risk of both teams scoring is material. Both sides generate over 1.3 xG: AlbinoLeffe 1.42 and Pergolettese 1.32, despite average goals scored this season being only 0.94 and 0.94, indicating genuine chances are being created. In the last 5 matches Pergolettese has BTTS 60% and concedes on average 1.2 goals (6 in 5), whereas AlbinoLeffe has BTTS 40% and concedes 0.6 goals (3 in 5), so the visitors more often appear in matches with goals at both ends. Considering the higher seasonal BTTS for the away side, low CS (12–18%) and xG>1 on both sides, I assess BTTS probability at 62% (Yes) vs 38% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated goals based on xG are 1.42 for AlbinoLeffe and 1.35 for Pergolettese, totaling ~2.77 goals. Seasonally both teams have 71% of matches over 1.5 goals, but the over 2.5 rate is 47% for AlbinoLeffe and 35% for Pergolettese (average ~41%). Over 3.5 is rare: 12% for the home side and 18% for the away side (average ~15%), so statistically Under 3.5 has roughly 85% backing. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the home team averages 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded, the away team 1.0 and 1.2, giving about ~2.2 goals combined and confirming the below-3.5 scenario. For these reasons I recommend an Under 3.5 bet as the strongest signal; alternatively Over 1.5 is also likely (~78%) given the seasonal 71% participation.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/1 (draw at half-time, home win). In the last five matches AlbinoLeffe were level at the break in 60% of games, while averaging 2.2 points in second halves compared to Pergolettese’s 1.2 points. Over the same period the home side scored on average 0.8 goals after the break versus 0.6 for the visitors and won the second half in 60% of cases, indicating a stronger AlbinoLeffe finish. Pergolettese draw frequently this season (41% of matches) and were level at half-time in 41% of games, increasing the likelihood of a draw after 45 minutes. Additionally the home xG is 1.42 versus 1.32 for the away team, and AlbinoLeffe average 11.35 shots compared to Pergolettese’s 9.82, so the advantage after the break and a Half-Time/Full-Time home victory (X/1) appear most justified.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AlbinoLeffe | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AlbinoLeffe is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - AlbinoLeffe · 1.4 pts / match - Pergolettese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AlbinoLeffe is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - AlbinoLeffe · 0.94 goals / match - Pergolettese
AlbinoLeffe scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
Pergolettese scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while AlbinoLeffe keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AlbinoLeffe
Over / Under - Pergolettese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AlbinoLeffe is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - AlbinoLeffe · 1.12 pts / match - Pergolettese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AlbinoLeffe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AlbinoLeffe
Pergolettese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| AlbinoLeffe | Liga | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.30 | • 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 41% | • 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 66% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AlbinoLeffe 0 - 1 - 0 Pergolettese. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese?
The Serie C Group A match finished AlbinoLeffe 3:0 Pergolettese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese?
AlbinoLeffe score 1.29 goals per game on average and Pergolettese 0.94. The Serie C Group A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 59% of AlbinoLeffe's matches and 50% of Pergolettese's.
What form are AlbinoLeffe and Pergolettese in?
Over the last 5 games AlbinoLeffe have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Pergolettese 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.