Albion vs Cerro Largo: match statistics
Albion vs Cerro Largo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Albion played Cerro Largo in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Albion: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cerro Largo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Albion scores 1.22 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Cerro Largo scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Albion 56%, Cerro Largo 33%. Over 2.5: Albion 56%, Cerro Largo 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Albion has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.24. Albion: 10.6 shots per match, Cerro Largo: 9.8.
Match halves
Albion: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Cerro Largo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Albion: 0-15 (3 goals). Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Albion holds an offensive edge at their stadium: on average 1.4 goals per match with 11 shots and 4.8 on target, and a conversion rate of 13%, while Cerro Largo away averages 0.8 goals with 9.4 shots, 3.4 on target and a 9% conversion. The difference in goal-scoring reliability is significant — Albion fail to score in 20% of home games, while Cerro Largo are goalless in 60% of their away matches. xG confirms a slight home advantage (1.38 vs 1.22), although both teams concede 1.4 goals per match on average, indicating a moderately balanced defensive contest. Despite Cerro Largo having 8 goals and 1.8 pts per match in their last 5 fixtures (versus Albion’s 6 goals and 1.6 pts), considering the home side’s superiority in possession (56% vs 47%), higher number of shots on target and lower FTS rate, I assess chances at 60% for Albion, 20% draw and 20% for Cerro Largo.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Combined xG for both teams is 1.26 + 1.22 = 2.48, slightly above the league average of 2.41 and indicating a sufficient number of chances for both sides. Albion averages 1.5 goals scored and concedes 1.0 per match, while Cerro Largo scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4; additionally Albion has higher finishing efficiency (conversion 15% vs 9%), which increases the hosts' likelihood to score. Seasonal BTTS is 50% for Albion and 20% for Cerro Largo, but in the last 5 matches these values rose to 60% and 40%, showing an uptick in both-teams-scoring occurrences in form. Clean sheets are uncommon (Albion 25%, Cerro Largo 20%), and Cerro Largo has a high xG against of 1.82, raising the risk of conceded goals; therefore the stronger signal from the data is a BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I estimate Albion will score about 1.54 goals (attacking xG 1.26 vs Cerro Largo’s average conceded xG 1.82), and Cerro Largo about 1.27 goals (attacking xG 1.22 vs Albion’s average conceded xG 1.32), giving a total of ~2.81 goals. Both teams have season rates of matches with over 0.5 goals at 100%, and rates for matches over 1.5 are 75% for Albion and 60% for Cerro Largo, which increases the likelihood of at least 2 goals. Albion is also more efficient in conversion — averaging 1.5 goals per game and 15% shot conversion versus 0.8 goals and 9% for Cerro Largo — which boosts the probability of goals for the home side. Season over 2.5 rates are 50% for Albion and 40% for Cerro Largo, and over 3.5 are only 25% and 20%; with a combined xG of 2.81 I assess Over 2.5 goals at around 60% and Over 3.5 at around 22%. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (combination of 75%/60% and combined xG 2.81), therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 and assess it at about an 85% chance.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half data indicate a weaker start from Albion: the hosts score an average of 0.25 goals by half-time and concede 0.75, taking the lead at the break in 25% of matches versus 40% for Cerro Largo. After the break the picture turns around — Albion scores an average of 1.25 goals in the second half and wins 75% of second halves, while the visitors concede an average of 1.0 goal after the interval and win second halves in only 20% of cases. Seasonally Albion scores 1.5 home goals per match and has higher shot conversion (15% versus the visitors’ 9%), and Cerro Largo’s defense concedes a higher xG against (1.82 vs 1.32 for Albion), which increases the probability of a turnaround. Therefore the strongest signal is the visitors leading at half-time and Albion winning after the break (HT/FT 2/1), which I estimate at 23%; alternatively X/1 is possible at 11% or the visitors retaining their lead 2/2 at 17%, but second-half statistics favor a home comeback.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Albion | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Largo is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Albion · 1.8 pts / match - Cerro Largo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albion is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Albion · 1.11 goals / match - Cerro Largo
Albion is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Albion · 1.22 goals / match - Cerro Largo
Albion scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Cerro Largo scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Albion
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Albion is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Albion · 1.22 pts / match - Cerro Largo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Albion
Cerro Largo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Albion | Liga | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.40 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 69% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Albion vs Cerro Largo?
The Primera División match finished Albion 2:2 Cerro Largo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Albion vs Cerro Largo?
Albion score 1.22 goals per game on average and Cerro Largo 1.11. The Primera División average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Albion's matches and 33% of Cerro Largo's.
What form are Albion and Cerro Largo in?
Over the last 5 games Albion have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cerro Largo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Albion vs Cerro Largo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Albion vs Cerro Largo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.