Albion vs Wanderers: match statistics
The match appears to be very evenly balanced, suggesting a draw. Albion shows poor home form with only 25% wins and a goal difference of -1, but they boast a better average xG (1.19 vs 0.95) and higher ball possession (59% vs 49%). Wanderers demonstrate solid away efficiency with 67% wins, but their recent away form is only one win in three matches. Both teams have identical shot accuracy (13%) and a similar average goals per match. Wanderers fail to score less frequently away (33% FTS), which could help them earn a point. Considering the poor form of the hosts and the stability of the visitors, a share of the points seems most likely.
Albion vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Albion played Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 25 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Wanderers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Albion scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Wanderers scores 0.86 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Albion 43%, Wanderers 43%. Over 2.5: Albion 57%, Wanderers 43%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Wanderers has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.15. Albion: 8.7 shots per match, Wanderers: 9.9.
Match halves
Albion: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Wanderers: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Albion: 76-90+ (3 goals). Wanderers: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match appears to be very evenly balanced, suggesting a draw. Albion shows poor home form with only 25% wins and a goal difference of -1, but they boast a better average xG (1.19 vs 0.95) and higher ball possession (59% vs 49%). Wanderers demonstrate solid away efficiency with 67% wins, but their recent away form is only one win in three matches. Both teams have identical shot accuracy (13%) and a similar average goals per match. Wanderers fail to score less frequently away (33% FTS), which could help them earn a point. Considering the poor form of the hosts and the stability of the visitors, a share of the points seems most likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The data indicates an elevated risk of one team failing to score: Albion has a low seasonal average goal tally (0.75) and a high FTS (50%), while Wanderers have averaged only 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches and have a BTTS rate of just 20%. Although Albion generates decent xG (1.58) and many shots on target (5.0), their finishing efficiency is low (7%), which limits their consistency in scoring. Wanderers' attack appears weaker in creation (xG 0.95; 2.33 shots on target), so even against Albion's average defense (1.5 goals conceded/match), there is no strong signal for them to score. Seasonal BTTS (Albion 50%, Wanderers 33%) and the last 5 matches for both teams (40% and 20%) are below the league average (46%), supporting the BTTS = NO scenario. Overall, the preponderance of statistical arguments suggests that at least one team may finish the match without a goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model indicates a moderate goal count: Albion generates high xG_for (1.58) but has low efficiency (7%) and only 0.75 goals per match, limiting their scoring ceiling. Wanderers in attack have a lower xG_for (0.95) and have been averaging 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches, despite Albion's defense conceding a fair amount (1.5 goals conceded per match; xG_against 1.53). Over/Under profiles support a scenario without a goal 'explosion': Over 3.5 is 25% for the hosts and 0% for the visitors, alongside a 100% Under 3.5 rate for Wanderers. Additionally, the league has a relatively high percentage of clean sheets (61%), which statistically favors 0-3 goal results. Therefore, the strongest signal is Under 3.5, while the 2.5 line remains more balanced.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for the half-time result is a draw: Albion draws at HT in as many as 75% of matches and has never led at the break (0%), while the average goals by HT is low (1.5 for the hosts, 1.0 for the visitors), favoring 0-0 or 1-1 scorelines. Wanderers have better results quality this season (2.0 PPG, 67% win rate) and a more solid defense overall (1.0 goal conceded away vs 1.5 for Albion at home), which increases the chance of their win after the break. At the same time, Albion generates more chances (xG 1.58 and 5 shots on target per match vs 0.95 and 2.33 for Wanderers), but has significantly worse conversion rate (7% vs 13%), so they more often 'control the game' without translating it into goals. The goal profile suggests visitors' pressure in the first half (Wanderers score in 0–15, while Albion concede in 0–30); however, the decline in Wanderers' offense in the last 5 matches (0.6 goals per game) increases the probability of a draw at HT. Overall, the most likely Half-Time/Full-Time scenario is a draw at half-time and a Wanderers win in the second half thanks to better PPG and more stable defense over the 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Albion | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wanderers is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Albion · 1.4 pts / match - Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albion is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Albion · 0.86 goals / match - Wanderers
Albion is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Albion · 1.29 goals / match - Wanderers
Albion scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Wanderers scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Albion
Over / Under - Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Albion is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Albion · 1 pts / match - Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Albion
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Albion | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.29 | 2.32 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 31% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Albion vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Albion 2:1 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Albion vs Wanderers?
Albion score 1.14 goals per game on average and Wanderers 0.86. The Primera División average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Albion's matches and 43% of Wanderers's.
What form are Albion and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Albion have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Wanderers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Albion vs Wanderers?
The statistical background for Albion vs Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.