Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: match statistics
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Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Albirex Niigata play Sagan Tosu in J2 League (Japan). The match date is 21 October 2026. Venue: Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Current form
Albirex Niigata: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sagan Tosu: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Albirex Niigata scores 1.36 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Sagan Tosu scores 1.00 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Albirex Niigata 64%, Sagan Tosu 36%. Over 2.5: Albirex Niigata 64%, Sagan Tosu 36%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Sagan Tosu has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.42. Albirex Niigata: 11.7 shots per match, Sagan Tosu: 15.4.
Match halves
Albirex Niigata: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73. Sagan Tosu: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Albirex Niigata: 16-30 (4 goals). Sagan Tosu: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Albirex Niigata | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Albirex Niigata is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Albirex Niigata · 1.2 pts / match - Sagan Tosu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albirex Niigata is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Albirex Niigata · 1 goals / match - Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Albirex Niigata · 1.18 goals / match - Sagan Tosu
Albirex Niigata scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
Sagan Tosu scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Albirex Niigata keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Albirex Niigata
Over / Under - Sagan Tosu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sagan Tosu is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Albirex Niigata · 1.45 pts / match - Sagan Tosu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Albirex Niigata - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sagan Tosu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Albirex Niigata | Liga | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu play?
Albirex Niigata face Sagan Tosu on 21 October 2026 in J2 League at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?
Albirex Niigata score 1.36 goals per game on average and Sagan Tosu 1.00. The J2 League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Albirex Niigata's matches and 36% of Sagan Tosu's.
What form are Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu in?
Over the last 5 games Albirex Niigata have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sagan Tosu 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?
The statistical background for Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.