Italy - Serie C Group ACampo comunale MendrisioData current as of 20 October 2026

Alcione vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Alcione vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Alcione play Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Campo comunale Mendrisio.

Current form

Alcione: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Alcione scores 1.70 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 1.40 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.40 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Alcione 80%, Athletic Carpi 70%. Over 2.5: Alcione 60%, Athletic Carpi 80%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.52. Alcione: 12.5 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 11.4.

Match halves

Alcione: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.90. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Alcione: 76-90+ (5 goals). Athletic Carpi: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AlcioneAthletic Carpi
1.7Goals scored / match1.4
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
1.5Goals conceded / match2
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
48%Average possession49%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
4.4Shots on target / match4.4
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.5Shots per match11.4
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
4.4Shots on target4.4
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
13.6%Shot conversion12.3%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
48%Possession49%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
1.52xG for1.53
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
1.89xG against1.82
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

Shooting quality

Alcione: Efficient finishingAthletic Carpi: Balanced
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
Accuracy (shots on target)35%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Alcione is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Alcione · 0.8 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Alcione
LDDDW
Season result split
30% W60% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-6-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Athletic Carpi
DLLLW
Season result split
20% W30% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-5
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Alcione is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.7 goals / match - Alcione · 1.4 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Alcione is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Alcione · 2 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Alcione scoring profile: very strong

Alcione scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Alcione keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

17Goals scored (season)14
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
15Goals conceded (season)20
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
3.2Average goals in match3.4
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
8Goals scored (last 5)6
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
50%2 goals40%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
30%3 goals20%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
10%4 goals0%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal90%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
40%2 goals80%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
10%3 goals30%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
10%4 goals0%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time40%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
10%BTTS in both halves20%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
40%Scored in both halves20%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS70%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
80%BTTS - last 560%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Alcione is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / match - Alcione · 1.3 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Alcione - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing
Athletic Carpi - half-time state
40% leading10% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per match (1st half)1.3
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.8
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)1.1
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.9
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
60%Clean sheet before half-time20%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
50%No goal before half-time40%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)0.8
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
1.8Average goals (2nd half)1.5
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
20%Clean sheet after half-time30%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi
30%No goal after half-time60%
AlcioneAthletic Carpi

Alcione - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

20% W20% D60% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Alcione - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Athletic Carpi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-6+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Alcione
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
6
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
138%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Alcione

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

AlcioneLigaAthletic Carpi
Average goals in match▲ 3.202.40▲ 3.40
Both teams scored▲ 80%52%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 60%50%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 10%32%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 70%64%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%74%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Alcione and Athletic Carpi play?

Alcione face Athletic Carpi on 24 October 2026 in Serie C Group A at Campo comunale Mendrisio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?

Alcione score 1.70 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.40. The Serie C Group A average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Alcione's matches and 70% of Athletic Carpi's.

What form are Alcione and Athletic Carpi in?

Over the last 5 games Alcione have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?

The statistical background for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.