Aldershot Town vs Boreham Wood: match statistics

Boreham Wood are displaying significantly higher form and quality, sitting in 4th place in the table with a record of 22 wins this season, while Aldershot Town are in 19th position with only 11 victories. A key factor is the hosts' disastrous run – five consecutive defeats without a single point, averaging 2.4 goals conceded per match. The visitors demonstrate solidity in away matches with a 42% win rate, an average of 2.16 goals per game, and an impressive goal difference of +12. The xG statistics also favour Boreham Wood (1.82 vs 1.72 for the hosts), and their higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 12%) and clean sheet percentage (37% vs 11%) confirm the advantage. The form in the last five matches is clear: the visitors have collected 10 points (3W-1D-1L) with 15 goals scored, while the hosts have gained zero points, conceding as many as 12 goals.

Over the course of the season, both teams frequently feature in BTTS matches: Aldershot has a 65% rate, while Boreham Wood sits at 63%, with a very low percentage of games failing to score (FTS at just 5% for both). Their offensive potential is backed by a high volume of chances: xG for Aldershot is 1.9 and for Boreham Wood 1.82, along with a similar number of shots on target (6.3 vs 6.26). Boreham Wood is in scoring form (3.0 goals/match over the last 5), while Aldershot has been conceding heavily in that period (2.4 goals/match), significantly boosting the visitors' chances of scoring. Simultaneously, Boreham Wood has conceded 10 goals in its last 5 matches (2.0/match) and has only a 37% clean sheet rate this season, so the hosts have a realistic chance to score despite their own poor scoring run (0.6 goals/match in the last 5). The high Over 2.5 match percentages (65% and 79%) further support a scenario with goals from both sides.

Seasonal data indicates a game with high scoring potential: Aldershot average 1.95 goals at home, while Boreham Wood average 2.16 away, backed by solid xG values (1.90 vs 1.82). Meanwhile, both defenses concede chances (Aldershot GA 1.15 and xGA 1.36, Boreham Wood GA 1.53 and xGA 1.46), and BTTS is frequent (65% and 63%). The shot volume and accuracy profile is high for both sides (SOT ~6.3 per match), supporting stable goal production. The last 5 matches reinforce the over signal: Aldershot conceding 2.4 goals/match and Boreham Wood scoring 3.0 goals/match, boosting expectations for the away side's goals. Historical frequencies confirm this picture: Over 1.5 occurs in 90% of Aldershot's and 95% of Boreham Wood's matches, making Over 1.5 the most reliable pick.

Boreham Wood is in clearly superior current form: in their last 5 matches, they average 3.0 goals scored per game and 2.0 PPG (on a 'wwdlw' run), while Aldershot has lost all of their last 5 (0.0 PPG), scoring only 0.6 and conceding 2.4 per game. The signal for a visitors' first-half advantage is strengthened by the HT trend from the last 5 encounters: Aldershot trailed at the break in 100% of their games, while Boreham Wood led at half-time in 60% of their matches. The goal profile favors the scenario of the visitors sustaining their lead, as Boreham Wood is highly dangerous after the interval (avg. second-half goals scored 1.26 and over 0.5 second-half goals in 95% of matches), while Aldershot has had poor starts and low offensive production recently. Simultaneously, both teams generate a high volume of chances (SoT ~6.3 vs ~6.26) and have high seasonal goal averages (3.10 and 3.68), which reduces the likelihood of a draw and increases the probability of a decisive outcome in favor of the better-performing visitors. Therefore, the 2/2 Half-Time/Full-Time outcome is the most probable, with X/2 remaining a high-probability alternative in the event of a more evenly contested first half.