Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Carlisle United displays significantly better form and a higher league position (3rd place) compared to Aldershot Town (17th place). The visitors boast an impressive 59% away win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), whereas the hosts concede an average of 2 goals per home match and hold a negative goal difference (-3). Aldershot shows very poor home form with a 50% loss rate and only a 31% win rate, confirmed by a streak of defeats in recent home games. In their last 5 away matches, Carlisle has demonstrated stability (3 wins in the last 5 away fixtures with a form sequence of 'wwlwwlwdwwlwdlwlw'), alongside better defensive efficiency (averaging 1.29 goals conceded away). The xG statistics also favor the visitors, who, despite a similar xG For (1.57 vs 1.74), possess a significantly better xG Against (1.63 vs the hosts' 1.49), indicating a more balanced game.
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aldershot Town played Carlisle United in National League (England). The match was played on 10 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Aldershot Town: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Carlisle United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aldershot Town scores 1.71 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 1.83 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aldershot Town 71%, Carlisle United 53%. Over 2.5: Aldershot Town 74%, Carlisle United 61%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.67. Aldershot Town: 12.9 shots per match, Carlisle United: 14.3.
Match halves
Aldershot Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.09. Carlisle United: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Aldershot Town: 76-90+ (17 goals). Carlisle United: 16-30 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United displays significantly better form and a higher league position (3rd place) compared to Aldershot Town (17th place). The visitors boast an impressive 59% away win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), whereas the hosts concede an average of 2 goals per home match and hold a negative goal difference (-3). Aldershot shows very poor home form with a 50% loss rate and only a 31% win rate, confirmed by a streak of defeats in recent home games. In their last 5 away matches, Carlisle has demonstrated stability (3 wins in the last 5 away fixtures with a form sequence of 'wwlwwlwdwwlwdlwlw'), alongside better defensive efficiency (averaging 1.29 goals conceded away). The xG statistics also favor the visitors, who, despite a similar xG For (1.57 vs 1.74), possess a significantly better xG Against (1.63 vs the hosts' 1.49), indicating a more balanced game.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aldershot Town | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Aldershot Town · 2 pts / match - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Aldershot Town · 1.83 goals / match - Carlisle United
Carlisle United is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - Aldershot Town · 1.22 goals / match - Carlisle United
Aldershot Town scores in 83% of matches (29 of 35 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
Carlisle United scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Aldershot Town keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aldershot Town
Over / Under - Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Aldershot Town · 1.61 pts / match - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aldershot Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aldershot Town
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Aldershot Town | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.57 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aldershot Town 0 - 0 - 1 Carlisle United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Aldershot Town 0:2 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
Aldershot Town score 1.71 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.83. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Aldershot Town's matches and 53% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Aldershot Town and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Aldershot Town have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Carlisle United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
The statistical background for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.