Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia: match statistics
Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aldosivi played Independiente Rivadavia in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Aldosivi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Independiente Rivadavia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aldosivi scores 0.33 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Independiente Rivadavia scores 1.87 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aldosivi 33%, Independiente Rivadavia 67%. Over 2.5: Aldosivi 13%, Independiente Rivadavia 53%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Rivadavia has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.22. Aldosivi: 10.4 shots per match, Independiente Rivadavia: 14.3.
Match halves
Aldosivi: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.13. Independiente Rivadavia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Aldosivi: 31-45+ (2 goals). Independiente Rivadavia: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back '2' — a win for Independiente Rivadavia. The visitors are clearly in superior form: in the last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 14 goals and averaging 2.6 points per game, while Aldosivi have scored only 2 goals and average 0.4 points per game over the same period. The difference in efficiency is evident — Independiente has a conversion rate of 12% and only 17% of away matches without a goal, whereas Aldosivi has a 3% conversion and failed to score in 71% of their home games. The visitors create more chances (12.33 shots per game and 50% possession away), the hosts average 10.57 shots and 39% possession; although Aldosivi have 3.71 shots on target versus 3.33 for Independiente, the visitors convert chances into goals far more effectively, reflected in the season totals 28 vs 5. Considering the advantage in form, efficiency and the last 5 matches (14–2 in goals), I assess the probability of a visitors' win at 70%, a draw at 20% and a home win at 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Main signals favor BTTS - Yes: the home team has a season BTTS rate of 78% and the away team 50%, yielding a simple average of 64%, clearly above the league average of 44%. In the away side’s last 5 matches BTTS is 80% and they scored 14 goals (2.8 per match), while the home team scored only 2 goals in 5 matches (0.4 per match), so at least the away team is very likely to score. Season xG favors the home side 1.85 vs 1.36 for the visitors, and the home team averages 15.67 shots and 6.44 shots on target vs 12.33 and 3.33 for the away team, so they have the chance-creation and scoring potential. The counterargument is that the away team has 50% clean sheets and concedes only 0.67 goals on average this season, which limits BTTS certainty, but in the last 5 matches the away side conceded 0.8 goals on average and the home team 1.4, which increases the likelihood of goal exchange. Considering the high season BTTS for the home side (78%), the away team’s strong scoring form in the last 5 matches (2.8 goals per game) and the advantage in chance creation (1.85 vs 1.36 xG), I assess the ‘Yes’ scenario as more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aldosivi averages 2.11 goals per match (xG 1.85), while Independiente Rivadavia averages 1.50 goals (xG 1.36); the combined xG for both teams is 3.21 (1.85+1.36), indicating high scoring potential. Season-long percentages confirm the trend: Aldosivi has 89% of matches over 1.5 goals, Independiente 67%, and both teams have over 0.5 goals in 100% and 83% of matches respectively — meaning at least one goal is nearly certain; simultaneously Aldosivi records BTTS in 78% of matches. Form trends contrast however: in the last 5 matches Aldosivi scored an average of 0.4 goals (xG 1.12) and conceded 1.4, whereas Independiente scores 2.8 goals on average (xG 1.61) and concedes 0.8; this shifts the likelihood of a higher goal total toward the visitors. Averaging the opponent’s attack and defense yields expected goals: (1.85+1.40)/2 ≈ 1.63 for Aldosivi and (1.36+1.32)/2 ≈ 1.34 for Independiente, giving a total ≈ 2.97 goals. As a result, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (estimated 88% probability) with moderate support for Over 2.5 (~62%), therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the best line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics point to a draw: Aldosivi led at the break in 4 matches (44%), while Independiente are level at half-time in 67% of fixtures, with average first-half goals of 1.0 for the home side versus 0.5 for the away side. Independiente are in clear form — winning 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and scoring on average 1.4 goals by half-time and 1.4 goals in second halves in those games, with an 80% success rate in winning second halves. Aldosivi generate more opportunities (xG 1.85 vs. 1.36 and shots on target 6.44 vs. 3.33), but their form over the last 5 matches is poor (0% wins and only 0.2 first-half goals), which undermines their chance of maintaining a lead. Additionally, Independiente have 50% clean sheets on the season and 67% clean sheets at half-time, which, combined with superior second-half efficiency, make the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of draw at the break and away win (X/2) the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aldosivi | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Rivadavia is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Aldosivi · 2.6 pts / match - Independiente Rivadavia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Rivadavia is 467% better for: goals scored per match.
0.33 goals / match - Aldosivi · 1.87 goals / match - Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Aldosivi · 0.93 goals / match - Independiente Rivadavia
Aldosivi scores in 33% of matches (5 of 15 matches), while Independiente Rivadavia keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Independiente Rivadavia scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Aldosivi keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aldosivi
Over / Under - Independiente Rivadavia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente Rivadavia is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Aldosivi · 1.47 pts / match - Independiente Rivadavia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aldosivi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Independiente Rivadavia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aldosivi
Independiente Rivadavia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Aldosivi | Liga | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente RivadaviaYellow cardLuciano Sábato
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aldosivi 1 - 0 - 1 Independiente Rivadavia. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The Primera División match finished Aldosivi 1:1 Independiente Rivadavia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aldosivi and Independiente Rivadavia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1, Independiente Rivadavia won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?
Aldosivi score 0.33 goals per game on average and Independiente Rivadavia 1.87. The Primera División average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Aldosivi's matches and 67% of Independiente Rivadavia's.
What form are Aldosivi and Independiente Rivadavia in?
Over the last 5 games Aldosivi have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Independiente Rivadavia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The statistical background for Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.