Aldosivi vs Sarmiento: match statistics
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aldosivi played Sarmiento in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Estadio José María Minella. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Aldosivi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Sarmiento: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aldosivi scores 0.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Sarmiento scores 1.15 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aldosivi 48%, Sarmiento 50%. Over 2.5: Aldosivi 30%, Sarmiento 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Aldosivi has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.25. Aldosivi: 12.3 shots per match, Sarmiento: 10.5.
Match halves
Aldosivi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.30. Sarmiento: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Aldosivi: 31-45+ (4 goals). Sarmiento: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.15 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aldosivi have the better chance of winning, primarily thanks to home advantage: Sarmiento have lost 77% of their away matches and concede an average of 1.92 goals in them. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.53 xG at home, while their opponents allow up to 1.93 xG away from home, giving Aldosivi room to find the net. The hosts also have a defensive edge: they concede an average of 0.85 goals per home match, while Sarmiento score an average of 0.92 goals away. However, Aldosivi’s finishing limits confidence in the pick: they score just 0.69 goals per home game and have failed to score in 46% of those matches. A draw remains a significant possibility, as 62% of Aldosivi’s home matches have ended level.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is Aldosivi’s defensive record: the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 54% of their matches and concede an average of 0.85 goals, while Sarmiento have failed to score in 38% of their games. The visitors average 0.92 goals from an xG of 1.06, making them less likely to score than the hosts. Aldosivi average 1.38 goals, while Sarmiento concede 1.92, suggesting that if either side fails to score, it is more likely to be the visitors. Recent form is the main risk to this pick: both teams had BTTS in 60% of their previous 5 matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals in those games. Even so, Aldosivi’s season-long clean-sheet record and Sarmiento’s frequent failure to score give a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team does not score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 69% of Aldosivi matches and 77% of Sarmiento matches. The hosts scored in 92% of their games, while the visitors conceded in 92%, increasing the likelihood of an Aldosivi goal. Sarmiento concede an average of 1.92 goals per match, although Aldosivi keep a clean sheet in 54% of games, so I assess the visitors’ contribution to the scoreline more cautiously. The 2.60-goal forecast supports the selected line, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 38% of the hosts’ matches and 62% of the visitors’ matches, meaning the higher line offers a less clear edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Aldosivi leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to the final whistle: at home, the hosts led at half-time in 10 of 13 matches (77%), while Sarmiento were trailing at the break in 5 of 13 away games (38%). Aldosivi score an average of 0.92 goals before half-time at home, whereas Sarmiento have managed just 0.31 goals in that period away from home and failed to score before the break in 77% of matches. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in full-time results: they have won 62% of their home matches, while the visitors have lost 77% of their away games, conceding an average of 1.92 goals compared with the 1.38 goals Aldosivi score at home. In addition, Sarmiento concede an average of 1.38 goals in the second half away from home, making it harder for them to recover from any deficit. Recent form does, however, increase the risk to the 1/1 scenario: in their last five matches, regardless of venue, Sarmiento led at half-time three times, compared with just twice for Aldosivi. Nevertheless, the full-season home and away data more clearly support the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aldosivi | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarmiento is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Aldosivi · 1.4 pts / match - Sarmiento
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sarmiento is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Aldosivi · 1.15 goals / match - Sarmiento
Aldosivi scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Sarmiento scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Aldosivi keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aldosivi
Over / Under - Sarmiento
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarmiento is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Aldosivi · 1.65 pts / match - Sarmiento
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aldosivi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Aldosivi | Liga | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.15 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 60% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Aldosivi 1 - 1 - 2 Sarmiento. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?
The Primera División match finished Aldosivi 1:3 Sarmiento. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aldosivi and Sarmiento?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1, Sarmiento won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?
Aldosivi score 0.67 goals per game on average and Sarmiento 1.15. The Primera División average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Aldosivi's matches and 50% of Sarmiento's.
What form are Aldosivi and Sarmiento in?
Over the last 5 games Aldosivi have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sarmiento 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.