Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse: match statistics
Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alemannia Aachen played Havelse in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
Alemannia Aachen: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Havelse: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alemannia Aachen scores 1.89 and concedes 1.51 goals per match. Havelse scores 1.51 and concedes 2.24. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alemannia Aachen 70%, Havelse 76%. Over 2.5: Alemannia Aachen 73%, Havelse 70%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Alemannia Aachen has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.42. Alemannia Aachen: 12.3 shots per match, Havelse: 12.2.
Match halves
Alemannia Aachen: half-time lead 49%, second-half goals 0.92. Havelse: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Alemannia Aachen: 16-30 (15 goals). Havelse: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alemannia Aachen sit 7th in the table while Havelse are 17th. Hosts have scored 70 goals this season versus 56 for the visitors; in the last five matches Aachen has 13 scored and 4 conceded, while Havelse have 9 scored and 10 conceded. Form and points output also favor Aachen: the hosts have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, averaging 2.6 pts per game, whereas Havelse have 3 wins and 2 losses with a 1.8 pts average. Offensively they are relatively similar in shot volume (12.5 vs 12.39 per match) and shots on target (4.5 vs 4.17), however Aachen are more efficient (13% conversion vs 11% for Havelse) and post a slightly higher home xG of 1.52 versus 1.46 xG for the visitors. The decisive advantage for the hosts is the opponent’s defensive weakness — Havelse concede 2.44 goals on average away with an xG against of 2.14, while Aachen concede 1.61 at home with xG against 1.46; the visitors also have a negative away goal difference of -19 and only 6% clean sheets compared to 17% for the hosts. Therefore I predict a home win, taking into account better form, higher efficiency (13% vs 11%) and the visitors’ significant defensive problems.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key indicators favor BTTS - Yes: Alemannia Aachen has a season BTTS rate of 68% and Havelse 83%, both clearly above the league average of 64%. Both teams score regularly and concede frequently — seasonally Aachen scores 1.63 and concedes 2.05, while Havelse scores 1.39 and concedes 2.44 per match — these figures indicate a high likelihood of goals from both sides. This is supported by xG and shot metrics: xG against is 1.85 for Aachen and 2.14 for Havelse, while xG for is 1.39 and 1.46, suggesting both sides create and allow chances. Additionally, both teams’ matches often exceed 2.5 goals (68% for Aachen and 72% for Havelse), and the over 2.5 + BTTS combination occurs in 53% and 67% of games — reinforcing the scenario of goals at both ends. Considering all numbers (season BTTS 68% vs 83%, high goals conceded 2.05 and 2.44, and last 5 matches BTTS 80% vs 60%), I tip BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 80%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I project 1.77 goals for Alemannia (attacking xG 1.39 and Havel’s average xG conceded 2.14, (1.39+2.14)/2=1.77) and 1.65 for Havelse (attacking xG 1.46 and Aachen’s xG conceded 1.85, (1.46+1.85)/2=1.655≈1.65), giving a total of 3.42 expected goals. Season Over 2.5 rates are 68% for hosts and 72% for visitors, and both teams have Over 2.5 in 80% of their last 5 matches, confirming a tendency for high-scoring games. Additionally BTTS is 68% for Aachen and 83% for Havelse, while average shots on target 3.63 (home) vs 4.17 (away) and conversion rates 14% vs 11% indicate real goal potential for both sides. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 2.5 (estimated ~76% probability); Over 1.5 is almost certain (~98%), and Over 3.5 is possible but less certain (~59%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), with average first-half goals of 1.2 for Alemannia Aachen versus 0.4 for Havelse, which strongly supports a home lead at half-time. Alemannia shows superior end-of-match form: in the last 5 fixtures they have an 80% win rate and average 2.6 goals scored compared to Havelse’s 60% win rate and 1.8 goals, while season PPG is 1.32 (home) versus 0.56 (away), increasing the probability of a home victory. Havelse’s defense is vulnerable — they concede 2.44 goals per match season-to-date with an xG against of 2.14, whereas the home side has an xG of 1.39 and scores on average 1.21 goals in the second half, suggesting the home lead can be maintained and potentially extended after the break. Conversely, both teams frequently score after half-time (second-half over 0.5: home 100%, away 94%) and season BTTS is 68% for the home side and 83% for the visitors, so there is a moderate risk of an equalizer in the second half. On that basis the most likely scenario is Alemannia leading at half-time and the home team winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alemannia Aachen | Havelse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alemannia Aachen is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Alemannia Aachen · 1.8 pts / match - Havelse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alemannia Aachen is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Alemannia Aachen · 1.51 goals / match - Havelse
Alemannia Aachen is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.51 goals / match - Alemannia Aachen · 2.24 goals / match - Havelse
Alemannia Aachen scores in 81% of matches (30 of 37 matches), while Havelse keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 37 matches).
Havelse scores in 81% of matches (30 of 37 matches), while Alemannia Aachen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alemannia Aachen
Over / Under - Havelse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alemannia Aachen is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Alemannia Aachen · 0.95 pts / match - Havelse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alemannia Aachen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 49% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Havelse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alemannia Aachen
Havelse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Alemannia Aachen | Liga | Havelse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.41 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 82% | ▲ 97% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- HavelseYellow cardIrichad Behrens
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Alemannia Aachen 0 - 1 - 0 Havelse. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse?
The 3. Liga match finished Alemannia Aachen 6:1 Havelse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse?
Alemannia Aachen score 1.89 goals per game on average and Havelse 1.51. The 3. Liga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Alemannia Aachen's matches and 76% of Havelse's.
What form are Alemannia Aachen and Havelse in?
Over the last 5 games Alemannia Aachen have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Havelse 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse?
The statistical background for Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.