Alemannia Aachen vs Meppen: match statistics

Alemannia Aachen are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three of them and scoring 15 goals during that period, while Meppen have suffered two defeats in their last five games. At home, the hosts have won 100% of their matches so far, averaging 4 goals and 8 shots on target per game, whereas the visitors have lost every away match and are yet to score. The difference is also reflected in chance quality: Aachen generate an average of 1.73 xG, while Meppen manage just 1.02 xG, and the visitors’ defence allows opponents 1.84 xG. Meppen do average 57% possession, but this translates into just 2 shots on target and 0 goals away from home. The hosts concede only 1 goal on average at home, making an Aachen victory by far the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal in favor of both teams scoring comes from their current form: BTTS occurred in 80% of Alemannia’s last five matches and in 60% of Meppen’s games. During this period, the hosts averaged 3.0 goals scored, while the visitors averaged 2.0, with Meppen conceding as many as 1.8 goals per match. The attacking potential of both teams is confirmed by their latest xG figures: 1.51 for Alemannia and 1.48 for Meppen, while Aachen allowed opponents an xG of 1.11. On the other hand, the hosts conceded only 4 goals in five matches, so the risk of Meppen failing to score remains significant. Nevertheless, the visitors’ weak defense and the high league-wide BTTS frequency of 65% slightly shift the forecast toward the "BTTS - Yes" option.

Alemannia have averaged 3.0 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Meppen conceded 1.8 goals per game during that period. At home, the hosts generated an average of 2.36 xG and registered 10 shots on target, whereas Meppen failed to score away from home and conceded 3 goals. The teams’ last five matches have often produced at least 3 goals: the 2.5 line was surpassed in 60% of Aachen’s matches and 80% of Meppen’s matches. The 3.0-goal forecast clearly favors Over 1.5, as even with limited attacking efficiency from the visitors, the hosts’ offense should move the match significantly closer to this threshold.

Alemannia Aachen have a clear advantage in the home data: they score an average of 2.0 goals and concede none, while Meppen fail to score away from home and concede an average of 3.0 goals. In the relevant first-half statistics, the hosts were leading at the break in 100% of the available matches, with an average half-time score of 1.0–0.0, whereas Meppen were trailing at half-time in 100% of cases. This advantage is further supported by chance creation: Aachen’s xG stands at 2.36 compared with the visitors’ 1.02, while the hosts average 10 shots on target against just 2 for Meppen. The last five matches also favour Aachen, who score 3.0 goals per game and concede 0.8, while Meppen allow opponents to score 1.8 goals. The most likely scenario is therefore for the hosts to take the lead at the break and maintain their winning advantage until full time.