Alianza Atlético vs Los Chankas: match statistics
Alianza Atlético vs Los Chankas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alianza Atlético played Los Chankas in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 24 July 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Alianza Atlético: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Los Chankas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alianza Atlético scores 1.17 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Los Chankas scores 1.44 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alianza Atlético 56%, Los Chankas 50%. Over 2.5: Alianza Atlético 44%, Los Chankas 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Alianza Atlético has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.40. Alianza Atlético: 13.8 shots per match, Los Chankas: 13.3.
Match halves
Alianza Atlético: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.72. Los Chankas: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Alianza Atlético: 76-90+ (5 goals). Los Chankas: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I expect a narrow win for Alianza Atlético. At home the hosts concede only 0.63 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches, while Los Chankas concede 1.63 goals away and have clean sheets in only 13% of away fixtures. The hosts also produce higher xG at home (xG 1.54) and average 5.38 shots on target versus the visitors' 4.75, indicating superior chance quality. However, Los Chankas are in better form: in their last 5 matches they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points per game, whereas Alianza have not won in that period (0-2-3) and average just 0.4 points per game. Offensively the hosts score 1.38 goals per game at home, while the visitors average 1.13 on the road; nevertheless the hosts register 38% of matches without scoring, so the risk of a low-scoring outcome is real. Considering the hosts' defensive edge and superior chance quality, I give Alianza higher probability to win, with a significant likelihood of a draw as well.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because the league records 57% of matches with both teams scoring, and Los Chankas has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63%, significantly above the average. Alianza Atlético have seen BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, while the hosts have scored only 3 goals (0.6 per game) and conceded 10 (2.0 per game), increasing the likelihood of opponents scoring. Seasonal xG indicates both teams create chances — hosts xG 1.45 vs xG against 1.30, and Los Chankas xG 1.34 vs xG against 1.53; in their last 5 matches the visitors generated xG 1.52 and conceded xG 1.44. Although Alianza keep a clean sheet in 50% of season matches (versus 13% for Los Chankas), the hosts’ current poor form and higher recent goals conceded averages point toward a Goal/Goal scenario. Therefore I estimate BTTS probability at 65% vs 35% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Alianza Atlético has xG_for 1.45, Los Chankas 1.34, with xG_against of opponents 1.53 (Los Chankas) and 1.30 (Alianza), yielding estimated goals 1.49 for the home side and 1.32 for the visitors, totaling 2.81. In the last 5 matches Alianza conceded 10 goals (2.0 per game) and scored 3 (0.6), while Los Chankas scored 5 (1.0) and conceded 6 (1.2), indicating defensive vulnerability for the hosts and moderate attacking output from the visitors. Seasonal indicators confirm a tendency for goals: Los Chankas have 88% of matches over 1.5 goals, Alianza 50%, and both teams have 100% of matches over 0.5 goals; the league averages 2.67 goals per game. A Poisson model with mean 2.81 gives probabilities over 1.5 ≈77%, over 2.5 ≈53% and over 3.5 ≈31%, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (77% vs 23%). Additionally, Alianza’s higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 9% for Los Chankas) and the hosts’ poor defensive run reinforce the likelihood of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Alianza Atlético, as the home side, is a clear favorite: they have an 80% home win rate, average 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, and lead at the break in 50% of games, scoring on average 0.9 and conceding 0.2 by halftime. Los Chankas concede on average 1.63 goals per game and have an xG of 1.34 with xG against 1.53, while the hosts generate xG 1.45 and achieve better efficiency (conversion 13% versus 9%). The combination of a high share of home leads at the break (50%) and a very high home win percentage (80%) indicates that the scenario of Alianza leading at Half-Time and holding on to win is the most likely. Additionally, Alianza keep a clean sheet at Half-Time in 80% of home matches, which reduces the risk of surrendering the lead, even though their last 5 results are ddlll and Los Chankas are in better recent form (dwldw). For these reasons HT/FT 1/1 is the strongest signal, with the second most relevant variant being a draw at Half-Time and a home win at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alianza Atlético | Los Chankas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Los Chankas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Alianza Atlético · 1.6 pts / match - Los Chankas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Chankas is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Alianza Atlético · 1.44 goals / match - Los Chankas
Alianza Atlético scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Los Chankas keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Los Chankas scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Alianza Atlético keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alianza Atlético
Over / Under - Los Chankas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Los Chankas is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Alianza Atlético · 1.78 pts / match - Los Chankas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alianza Atlético - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Los Chankas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alianza Atlético
Los Chankas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Alianza Atlético | Liga | Los Chankas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.67 | • 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Alianza AtléticoGoalGuillermo Alessandro Larios SaavedraAssist: Anthony Manuel Alberto Gordillo Vásquez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Alianza Atlético 2 - 0 - 1 Los Chankas. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alianza Atlético vs Los Chankas?
The Primera División match finished Alianza Atlético 3:1 Los Chankas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alianza Atlético and Los Chankas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 2, Los Chankas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alianza Atlético vs Los Chankas?
Alianza Atlético score 1.17 goals per game on average and Los Chankas 1.44. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Alianza Atlético's matches and 50% of Los Chankas's.
What form are Alianza Atlético and Los Chankas in?
Over the last 5 games Alianza Atlético have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Los Chankas 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alianza Atlético vs Los Chankas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alianza Atlético vs Los Chankas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.