Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alianza Lima play Atlético Grau in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Current form
Alianza Lima: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Grau: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alianza Lima scores 1.64 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Atlético Grau scores 0.93 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alianza Lima 54%, Atlético Grau 36%. Over 2.5: Alianza Lima 39%, Atlético Grau 36%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Alianza Lima has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.33. Alianza Lima: 15.6 shots per match, Atlético Grau: 11.9.
Match halves
Alianza Lima: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.86. Atlético Grau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Alianza Lima: 31-45+ (14 goals). Atlético Grau: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alianza Lima | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alianza Lima is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Alianza Lima · 0.93 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Alianza Lima is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Alianza Lima · 1.11 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Alianza Lima scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Atlético Grau keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
Atlético Grau scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Alianza Lima keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alianza Lima
Over / Under - Atlético Grau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alianza Lima is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Alianza Lima · 1.14 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alianza Lima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Grau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alianza Lima
Atlético Grau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Alianza Lima | Liga | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 53% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 24% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Alianza Lima 2 - 1 - 0 Atlético Grau. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Alianza Lima and Atlético Grau play?
Alianza Lima face Atlético Grau on 18 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alianza Lima and Atlético Grau?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 2, Atlético Grau won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau?
Alianza Lima score 1.64 goals per game on average and Atlético Grau 0.93. The Primera División average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Alianza Lima's matches and 36% of Atlético Grau's.
What form are Alianza Lima and Atlético Grau in?
Over the last 5 games Alianza Lima have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Grau 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau?
The statistical background for Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


