Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco: match statistics
Alianza shows a clear advantage in all key statistics. The hosts boast an impressive record of 22 wins this season and excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (PPG 2.4). In home matches, Alianza wins 56% of the time, averaging 1.44 goals scored while conceding just 0.94. Fuerte San Francisco has disastrous away form - only 19% wins, a negative goal difference (-10), and a mere 0.4 points per match in their last 5 fixtures. The visitors haven't won any of their last 5 matches and fail to score in 56% of their away games. The quality gap between the teams is immense, which, combined with the home advantage, gives Alianza very high chances of a secure victory.
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alianza played Fuerte San Francisco in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Alianza: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Fuerte San Francisco: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alianza scores 1.73 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.88 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alianza 49%, Fuerte San Francisco 50%. Over 2.5: Alianza 51%, Fuerte San Francisco 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Alianza has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.33. Alianza: 9.5 shots per match, Fuerte San Francisco: 9.7.
Match halves
Alianza: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.89. Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Alianza: 31-45+ (12 goals). Fuerte San Francisco: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alianza shows a clear advantage in all key statistics. The hosts boast an impressive record of 22 wins this season and excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (PPG 2.4). In home matches, Alianza wins 56% of the time, averaging 1.44 goals scored while conceding just 0.94. Fuerte San Francisco has disastrous away form - only 19% wins, a negative goal difference (-10), and a mere 0.4 points per match in their last 5 fixtures. The visitors haven't won any of their last 5 matches and fail to score in 56% of their away games. The quality gap between the teams is immense, which, combined with the home advantage, gives Alianza very high chances of a secure victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alianza | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alianza is 500% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Alianza · 0.4 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alianza is 97% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Alianza · 0.88 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza is 97% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Alianza · 1.75 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza scores in 81% of matches (30 of 37 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Alianza keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alianza
Over / Under - Fuerte San Francisco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alianza is 124% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Alianza · 0.75 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alianza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Alianza | Liga | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.62 | 2.71 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 51% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- AlianzaGoalGustavo Moura e Souza
- AlianzaGoalOscar Oswaldo Rodríguez Maldonado
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Alianza 2 - 0 - 0 Fuerte San Francisco. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Alianza 3:2 Fuerte San Francisco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alianza and Fuerte San Francisco?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza won 2, Fuerte San Francisco won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza score 1.73 goals per game on average and Fuerte San Francisco 0.88. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Alianza's matches and 50% of Fuerte San Francisco's.
What form are Alianza and Fuerte San Francisco in?
Over the last 5 games Alianza have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Fuerte San Francisco 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.