All Boys vs San Telmo: match statistics

All Boys remain unbeaten at home: they have won 29% of their matches and drawn as many as 71%, conceding just 0.36 goals per game on average and keeping a clean sheet in 64% of their appearances. San Telmo win only 7% of their away matches, lose 50% of them and average 0.57 goals scored, while failing to score in 57% of away fixtures. The hosts also create clearly better chances, as reflected by an average xG of 1.46 compared with the visitors’ 0.96, while San Telmo allow opponents an xG of 1.83. Recent form also favours All Boys, who have collected 8 points and conceded just 2 goals in their last five matches, whereas San Telmo have conceded 9 goals over the same period. However, the hosts’ low scoring rate of 0.64 goals at home, combined with their strong tendency to draw, suggests that a narrow victory is the most likely outcome—probably 1:0.

The “No” selection is strongly supported by low seasonal BTTS rates: All Boys record BTTS in 29% of their matches, while San Telmo do so in 43%, against a league average of 40%. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 50% of their games and have conceded just 0.4 goals per match over their last five fixtures, significantly limiting the visitors’ chances. San Telmo average only 0.57 goals per game this season and 0.8 over their last five matches, while their average xG stands at 0.96 compared with the 1.46 xG conceded by All Boys. The hosts are more likely to score, averaging 4.21 shots on target compared with San Telmo’s 1.86, but their recent average of just 0.6 goals also does not support a Goal/Goal scenario. Additionally, only 20% of All Boys’ last five matches and 40% of San Telmo’s ended with BTTS, making it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.

The match profile points to a limited number of goals: the league average is only 1.94 goals, while the hosts score 1.00 goal per match this season, compared with just 0.57 for San Telmo. All Boys have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while the visitors have failed to score in 57% of their games, clearly lowering the projected goal output for the away side. San Telmo do allow opponents an average of 1.83 xG, and the hosts create 1.65 xG, so one or two All Boys goals appears the most realistic scenario; however, their last five matches produced only 0.6 goals scored per game. The 3.5 line has gone under in 71% of All Boys matches and as many as 93% of San Telmo matches, with neither team averaging even two goals. The strongest option is therefore Under 3.5, as even a potential improvement in the hosts’ attacking output would not require an open game with four goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an All Boys victory at the final whistle, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 50% of their matches, rising to 80% in their last five fixtures. San Telmo also has a 50% half-time draw rate, but during its current five-match run, it has never been ahead and went into the break trailing in 60% of cases. After the interval, the hosts’ advantage should increase: they average 0.57 goals compared with San Telmo’s 0.36, while their points return in this period stands at 1.43 versus 1.07 for their opponents. All Boys create considerably more danger over the course of the match, recording an xG of 1.65 compared with the visitors’ 0.96, as well as 4.21 shots on target per match versus 1.86. In addition, San Telmo have lost 50% of their matches and concede an average of 1.29 goals, while the hosts keep a clean sheet in 50% of their games, limiting the visitors’ chances of preserving a favourable result.