Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Alloa Athletic played Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 25 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Alloa Athletic: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Inverness CT: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Alloa Athletic scores 1.21 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.86 and concedes 0.57. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Alloa Athletic 21%, Inverness CT 29%. Over 2.5: Alloa Athletic 36%, Inverness CT 43%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.21. Alloa Athletic: 9.0 shots per match, Inverness CT: 15.7.

Match halves

Alloa Athletic: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.64. Inverness CT: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Alloa Athletic: 61-75 (4 goals). Inverness CT: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
8Shots10
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
2Shots on target3
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0.94xG1.3
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
3Corners6
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
40Dangerous attacks63
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
10Fouls11
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0Cards0
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Alloa AthleticInverness CT
1.21Goals scored / match1.86
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0.5Goals conceded / match0.57
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
50%Average possession51%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
5.07Shots on target / match7.14
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9Shots per match15.71
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
5.07Shots on target7.14
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
13.5%Shot conversion11.8%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
50%Possession51%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
1.21xG for1.95
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
1.16xG against0.86
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

Shooting quality

Alloa Athletic: Efficient finishingInverness CT: Attacking
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)56%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 2.6 pts / match - Inverness CT

Alloa Athletic
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-4
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%
Inverness CT
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
79% W7% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-1-2
2.43 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-0-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 0.71BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.86 goals / match - Inverness CT

Alloa Athletic is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 0.57 goals / match - Inverness CT

Alloa Athletic scoring profile: more difficult

Alloa Athletic scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 71% (10 of 14 matches).

Inverness CT scoring profile: strong

Inverness CT scores in 100% of matches (14 of 14 matches), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).

17Goals scored (season)26
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
7Goals conceded (season)8
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
1.71Average goals in match2.43
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
8Goals scored (last 5)9
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0Goals conceded (last 5)2
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal100%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
36%2 goals50%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
14%3 goals21%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
7%4 goals14%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal29%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
7%2 goals21%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0%3 goals7%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time21%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
29%Scored in both halves43%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0%BTTS - last 520%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
7%Min. 2 goals after half-time21%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.71 pts / match - Inverness CT

Alloa Athletic - half-time state
29% leading64% draw7% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.71
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.86
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0.21Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0.79Average goals (1st half)1.21
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
86%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
57%No goal before half-time36%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)2.29
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)1
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.21
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
0.93Average goals (2nd half)1.21
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
71%Clean sheet after half-time86%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT
50%No goal after half-time21%
Alloa AthleticInverness CT

Alloa Athletic - second-half results

50% W21% D29% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inverness CT - second-half results

71% W14% D14% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding184%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 79%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Alloa Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Alloa Athletic
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
6
0
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.07
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-52%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Alloa Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Alloa AthleticLigaInverness CT
Average goals in match 1.712.57 2.43
Both teams scored 21%45% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%54% 43%
Clean sheets 57%30% 71%
Goal before half-time 43%72% 71%
Goal after half-time 79%81% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTGoalLuis LongstaffAssist: Paul Allan
  2. Alloa AthleticSubstitutionOn: Kalvin OrsiOff: Lewis Stewart
  3. Alloa AthleticSubstitutionOn: Andrew ClarkeOff: Kurtis Roberts
  4. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Chanka ZimbaOff: Alfie Bavidge
  5. Alloa AthleticGoalCameron O'Donnel
  6. Alloa AthleticSubstitutionOn: Conor SammonOff: Luke Rankin

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Alloa Athletic 0 - 0 - 1 Inverness CT. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Alloa Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Alloa Athletic 1:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT?

Alloa Athletic score 1.21 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.86. The League One average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Alloa Athletic's matches and 29% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Alloa Athletic and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Alloa Athletic have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Inverness CT 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.