Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead: match statistics
Alloa Athletic demonstrates significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +14 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.6 goals per home match, conceding only 0.67, which indicates a solid defense. Peterhead has very poor away results – only 27% wins, as many as 53% defeats, and a negative goal difference of -14, conceding an average of 1.93 goals per away match. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 points per match) compared to the visitors (0.8 points). Considering Alloa Athletic's superiority in every aspect of home play and Peterhead's away weaknesses, the hosts are clear favorites for this encounter.
Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alloa Athletic played Peterhead in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Alloa Athletic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Peterhead: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alloa Athletic scores 1.50 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Peterhead scores 1.43 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alloa Athletic 43%, Peterhead 67%. Over 2.5: Alloa Athletic 47%, Peterhead 70%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Alloa Athletic has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.21. Alloa Athletic: 9.7 shots per match, Peterhead: 9.5.
Match halves
Alloa Athletic: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.90. Peterhead: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Alloa Athletic: 76-90+ (10 goals). Peterhead: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alloa Athletic demonstrates significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +14 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.6 goals per home match, conceding only 0.67, which indicates a solid defense. Peterhead has very poor away results – only 27% wins, as many as 53% defeats, and a negative goal difference of -14, conceding an average of 1.93 goals per away match. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 points per match) compared to the visitors (0.8 points). Considering Alloa Athletic's superiority in every aspect of home play and Peterhead's away weaknesses, the hosts are clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data strongly supports BTTS - Yes: Alloa have seen BTTS in 73% of their matches, while Peterhead have in 60%, with very low clean sheet percentages (7% and 13% respectively). Both teams consistently concede goals (averages: Alloa 1.6 GA, Peterhead 1.93 GA), increasing the likelihood of the opponent scoring. Recent form from the last 5 matches further strengthens the signal, as BTTS occurred in 80% of games for both sides, with high average goals conceded (Alloa 2.0; Peterhead 1.6). The home side's offensive potential is clear (1.87 goals/match, 4.87 shots on target), while the visitors' defense is among the weakest in this dataset (53 goals conceded this season). From an xG perspective, there is also a foundation for goals from both sides: Alloa xG 1.44 and Peterhead xG 0.99, with Alloa's xGA at 1.06.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile favors goals: Alloa average 1.87 goals per match, while Peterhead concede as many as 1.93 goals per match, which significantly boosts expectations for the hosts' goals. The defenses are unstable (Alloa concede 1.6 per match, Peterhead have a very low clean sheet rate of 13%, and Alloa only 7%), and BTTS is high (73% for Alloa and 60% for Peterhead). Seasonal markets confirm the pace: Over 1.5 occurs in 87% of Alloa's matches and 93% of Peterhead's matches, with 100% Over 0.5 on both sides. Shooting data also indicates Alloa's offensive advantage (11.67 shots and 4.87 on target vs 7.4 and 3.0 for Peterhead) along with a reasonable conversion rate (16% and 14%). The last 5 matches for both teams also show elevated goal-scoring (averaging 4.0 goals per match for Alloa and 2.8 for Peterhead, with Over 2.5 at 60%). Therefore, the strongest pick is Over 1.5, while the 2.5 and 3.5 lines remain more dependent on final third efficiency.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Alloa have a clear qualitative advantage: higher PPG (1.6 vs 1.0), they win more often (47% vs 27%), and create more chances (xG 1.44 vs 0.99; shots 11.67 vs 7.4). In the first halves, the hosts often take the lead (47%), and Peterhead very frequently trail at the break (47%), while Alloa also have a better halftime goal difference (+7 vs -5). The visitors' defense is one of the weakest in the league (1.93 goals conceded per match, 13% CS), which supports the scenario of Alloa leading at HT and seeing out the result. At the same time, Alloa's high BTTS (73%) and low CS over the season (7%) increase the risk of them losing control after the break, hence the significant share of the 1/X and X/1 variants. However, the strongest signal from the data remains Alloa's superiority both before the break and in match terms, which is why the 1/1 pick stands highest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alloa Athletic | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alloa Athletic is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 0.8 pts / match - Peterhead
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alloa Athletic is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.43 goals / match - Peterhead
Alloa Athletic is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.77 goals / match - Peterhead
Alloa Athletic scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Peterhead keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
Peterhead scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alloa Athletic
Over / Under - Peterhead
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alloa Athletic is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.4 pts / match - Peterhead
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alloa Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peterhead - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alloa Athletic
Peterhead
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Alloa Athletic | Liga | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 82% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 - 2 Peterhead. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
The League One match finished Alloa Athletic 1:2 Peterhead. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alloa Athletic and Peterhead?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Alloa Athletic won 1, Peterhead won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
Alloa Athletic score 1.50 goals per game on average and Peterhead 1.43. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Alloa Athletic's matches and 67% of Peterhead's.
What form are Alloa Athletic and Peterhead in?
Over the last 5 games Alloa Athletic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Peterhead 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.