Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South: match statistics
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alloa Athletic play Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Alloa Athletic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Queen of the South: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alloa Athletic scores 1.39 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Queen of the South scores 1.61 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alloa Athletic 42%, Queen of the South 58%. Over 2.5: Alloa Athletic 44%, Queen of the South 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.26. Alloa Athletic: 9.8 shots per match, Queen of the South: 11.1.
Match halves
Alloa Athletic: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.81. Queen of the South: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Alloa Athletic: 61-75 (10 goals). Queen of the South: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Alloa Athletic holds a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they score an average of 1.59 goals per match and concede only 0.71, have a 53% win rate and 47% clean sheets, translating to a +15 home goal differential. Queen of the South away averages 1.29 goals scored and concedes 1.35 per match, has only a 29% away win rate and 24% clean sheets, and an away goal differential of -1. The quality gap in chances is supported by xG and shot accuracy: Alloa’s home xG is 1.24 with 5.06 shots on target per match, whereas Queen have xG 1.14 and 3.76 shots on target, indicating more high-quality chances for the hosts. However, recent form shows the visitors’ resilience — Queen in their last 5 matches have 1 win and 4 draws (7 goals scored) and average 1.4 points per match, while Alloa in their last 5 have 2 wins and 3 losses and average 1.2 points per match, so a draw is realistic. Considering Alloa’s defensive edge and efficiency (0.71 goals conceded per match vs 1.35 and 17% shot conversion vs 15%), I assign 60% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alloa Athletic | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Queen of the South is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.8 pts / match - Queen of the South
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Queen of the South is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.61 goals / match - Queen of the South
Alloa Athletic is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.25 goals / match - Queen of the South
Alloa Athletic scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Queen of the South scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Alloa Athletic
Over / Under — Queen of the South
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alloa Athletic is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.33 pts / match - Queen of the South
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alloa Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Queen of the South - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alloa Athletic
Queen of the South
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Alloa Athletic | Liga | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 - 2 Queen of the South. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
The League One match finished Alloa Athletic 1:4 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alloa Athletic and Queen of the South?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Alloa Athletic won 1, Queen of the South won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
Alloa Athletic score 1.39 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.61. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Alloa Athletic's matches and 58% of Queen of the South's.
What form are Alloa Athletic and Queen of the South in?
Over the last 5 games Alloa Athletic have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Queen of the South 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.