Almagro vs Deportivo Morón: match statistics
Deportivo Morón is in significantly better form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive record of 10 goals scored while conceding only 3. The visitors remain unbeaten away this season, recording 50% wins and 50% draws, which translates to a solid 2.6 points per game. Almagro, on the other hand, is struggling with issues, particularly in attack, where they average only 0.5 goals per game at home and fail to score in half of their home matches. The higher xG for the visitors (1.58 vs 1.21) along with a significantly better shot accuracy (17% vs 6%) further supports Deportivo Morón. Considering all statistics, the visitors are the clear favorites for this match.
Almagro vs Deportivo Morón: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almagro played Deportivo Morón in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Almagro: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Deportivo Morón: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almagro scores 0.40 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Deportivo Morón scores 2.00 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almagro 20%, Deportivo Morón 60%. Over 2.5: Almagro 0%, Deportivo Morón 40%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Morón has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.12. Almagro: 6.8 shots per match, Deportivo Morón: 12.2.
Match halves
Almagro: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40. Deportivo Morón: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Almagro: 46-60 (1 goals). Deportivo Morón: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Morón is in significantly better form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive record of 10 goals scored while conceding only 3. The visitors remain unbeaten away this season, recording 50% wins and 50% draws, which translates to a solid 2.6 points per game. Almagro, on the other hand, is struggling with issues, particularly in attack, where they average only 0.5 goals per game at home and fail to score in half of their home matches. The higher xG for the visitors (1.58 vs 1.21) along with a significantly better shot accuracy (17% vs 6%) further supports Deportivo Morón. Considering all statistics, the visitors are the clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS is the offensive decline of Almagro in their last 5 matches: an average of 0.4 goals and only 20% of matches featuring BTTS. Deportivo Morón boasts solid defensive metrics (50% clean sheets for the season and just 0.6 goals conceded per match in the last 5), which reduces the likelihood of the hosts finding the net. Meanwhile, the visitors are in excellent form ('dwwww') and have been scoring an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 outings, while Almagro concedes a high xG against (1.61 in last5), making a Morón goal look probable. Although Almagro's seasonal BTTS rate (67%) and both teams' lack of FTS suggest some potential for goals, the current form trends and Morón's defense shift the advantage towards a scenario where both teams do NOT score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The league's goal average is low (1.88), and the percentage of matches with Over 2.5 goals is only 32%, which naturally supports under lines. Almagro has been averaging just 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches and has a 0% Over 2.5 record, even though their season-long home xG (1.65) suggests a potential that has recently declined significantly (last5 xG for 1.04). Deportivo Morón is in good form (WWWWW), scoring 2.0 goals per match in their last 5 games, but simultaneously conceding little (0.6). Their season CS% is 50%, which limits the risk of a 'goal-fest'. The xG matchup (home xG for 1.65 vs away xG against 1.12, and away xG for 1.58 vs home xG against 0.99) indicates a moderate level of scoring opportunities, closer to 2–3 goals than 4+. Therefore, the strongest signal is Under 3.5, which secures the bet even with a 2:1 or 1:2 scoreline, and the league data and the visitors' defensive solidity support such a scenario.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The key signal is current form: Almagro has only 1.0 PPG and averages 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches, while Deportivo Morón boasts 2.6 PPG with 2.0 goals per match and a 'dwwww' series run. In first halves, Almagro in their last5 fails to score (scoredAVGHT 0.0) and trails at the break in a significant 60% of cases, whereas Morón leads at half-time in 60% of their last5 (last5_leadingAtHT). Defensively, Morón is solid (seasonConcededAVG 0.5, CS 50%), which, coupled with the league's low-scoring profile and high clean sheet rate (CS 74%), strengthens the away win scenario. At the same time, the average xG is similar (1.65 vs 1.58), so a closely contested match is the most likely outcome, but with Morón holding the edge due to better second-half efficiency and score control (wins_2hg_percentage 100%, cs_2hg_percentage 100%). Therefore, I rate the 2/2 variant the highest, and see X/2 and 2/X as alternatives in case of a prolonged stalemate or a late equalizer by the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almagro | Deportivo Morón | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Morón is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Almagro · 2.2 pts / match - Deportivo Morón
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Morón is 400% better for: goals scored per match.
0.4 goals / match - Almagro · 2 goals / match - Deportivo Morón
Almagro scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Deportivo Morón keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Deportivo Morón scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almagro
Over / Under - Deportivo Morón
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Morón is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / match - Almagro · 1.4 pts / match - Deportivo Morón
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almagro - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Morón - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almagro
Deportivo Morón
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Almagro | Liga | Deportivo Morón | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.20 | 1.84 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 41% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 32% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Almagro vs Deportivo Morón?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Almagro 2:0 Deportivo Morón. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almagro vs Deportivo Morón?
Almagro score 0.40 goals per game on average and Deportivo Morón 2.00. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Almagro's matches and 60% of Deportivo Morón's.
What form are Almagro and Deportivo Morón in?
Over the last 5 games Almagro have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Deportivo Morón 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almagro vs Deportivo Morón?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Almagro vs Deportivo Morón: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.