Almagro vs Nueva Chicago: match statistics
Almagro vs Nueva Chicago: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almagro played Nueva Chicago in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 27 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Tres de Febrero. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Almagro: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nueva Chicago: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almagro scores 0.87 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Nueva Chicago scores 0.73 and concedes 0.97. League average: 1.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almagro 40%, Nueva Chicago 30%. Over 2.5: Almagro 30%, Nueva Chicago 23%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Nueva Chicago has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.15. Almagro: 8.7 shots per match, Nueva Chicago: 10.0.
Match halves
Almagro: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.53. Nueva Chicago: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Almagro: 76-90+ (7 goals). Nueva Chicago: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almagro have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 40% of their matches, score an average of 1.07 goals and concede just 0.87, while Nueva Chicago score only 0.40 goals per away game. The visitors have lost as many as 73% of their away matches and failed to score in 73% of those fixtures, which significantly limits their chances against a home side that keep a clean sheet in 40% of their matches at home. Almagro also create slightly better chances, recording an average xG of 1.27 compared with Nueva Chicago’s 1.03, while the visitors allow opponents an xG of 1.51 away from home. Both teams have been struggling for goals recently, with Almagro scoring 5 goals in five matches and Nueva Chicago just 2, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome. The visitors’ form is also unconvincing: they have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, while Almagro have suffered 2 defeats over the same period.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Nueva Chicago’s very poor scoring record: the visitors average just 0.40 goals per match and have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 games. Nueva Chicago have failed to score in 73% of their league matches, while Almagro have kept a clean sheet in 47% of their appearances. The visitors’ season BTTS rate is just 13%, well below Almagro’s 47% and the league average of 39%; over their last five matches, it has risen only to 20%. Almagro should have the attacking advantage, averaging 4.27 shots on target compared with the opponent’s 2.40 and recording an xG of 1.48, but this setup is more conducive to a one-sided result than to both teams scoring. The low league average of 1.93 goals, along with Nueva Chicago featuring in matches with at least three goals only 20% of the time, further supports the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly points to a low-scoring outcome: the league goal average is only 1.93, while both teams finish below 2.5 goals in 73% and 80% of their matches, respectively. Almagro concede just 0.67 goals per game at home, whereas Nueva Chicago score only 0.40 goals away and have failed to score in 73% of their matches. The hosts have an attacking advantage, but their average of 1.07 goals scored and 9% shot conversion rate do not suggest a high-scoring game. The Under 3.5 goals line offers the greatest edge, as this outcome has occurred in 87% of Almagro matches and as many as 93% of Nueva Chicago matches, while the combined forecast is only 1.60 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Almagro win, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 47% of their matches, and in as many as 100% of their last five. Nueva Chicago have a very poor start to matches: they average just 0.07 goals before the break, failed to score in the first half in 93% of games, and were trailing at half-time in 80% of their last five fixtures. After the interval, Almagro remain unbeaten, winning the second half in 47% of matches and drawing the remaining 53%, while conceding just 0.13 goals per second half. The visitors lose 73% of their matches, score an average of 0.40 goals per game, and failed to find the net in 73% of their appearances, supporting a later turnaround in favour of the hosts. Almagro’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: their xG stands at 1.48 compared with 1.03 for their opponents, while their average number of shots on target is 4.27 versus Nueva Chicago’s 2.40.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almagro | Nueva Chicago | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almagro is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Almagro · 0.8 pts / match - Nueva Chicago
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almagro is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Almagro · 0.73 goals / match - Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Almagro · 0.97 goals / match - Nueva Chicago
Almagro scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while Nueva Chicago keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Nueva Chicago scores in 47% of matches (14 of 30 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almagro
Over / Under - Nueva Chicago
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almagro is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Almagro · 0.83 pts / match - Nueva Chicago
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almagro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nueva Chicago - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Almagro | Liga | Nueva Chicago | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.07 | 1.93 | ▼ 1.70 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Almagro 1 - 0 - 0 Nueva Chicago. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almagro vs Nueva Chicago?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Almagro 0:1 Nueva Chicago. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almagro vs Nueva Chicago?
Almagro score 0.87 goals per game on average and Nueva Chicago 0.73. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Almagro's matches and 30% of Nueva Chicago's.
What form are Almagro and Nueva Chicago in?
Over the last 5 games Almagro have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nueva Chicago 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almagro vs Nueva Chicago?
The statistical background for Almagro vs Nueva Chicago — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.