Almere City vs Ajax II: match statistics
Almere City vs Ajax II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almere City played Ajax II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Venue: Yanmar Stadion. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Almere City: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Ajax II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almere City scores 2.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Ajax II scores 2.20 and concedes 2.80. League average: 3.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almere City 75%, Ajax II 100%. Over 2.5: Almere City 75%, Ajax II 80%. League level: BTTS 79%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
Almere City has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.58. Almere City: 14.8 shots per match, Ajax II: 13.8.
Match halves
Almere City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.25. Ajax II: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Almere City: 76-90+ (4 goals). Ajax II: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.79 goals per match, BTTS 79%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almere City have won 3 of their 4 league matches so far, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 3, while Ajax II have suffered 3 defeats in 4 games, with a 10:13 goal difference. The hosts have won every home match, averaging 3 goals per game, whereas Ajax’s reserves have lost both away fixtures and concede as many as 2.5 goals per match on the road. Ajax II are capable of creating chances, as shown by their 1.26 xG and 5.5 shots on target away from home, but they convert just 13% of their attempts compared with Almere City’s 33%. The hosts’ defence is not flawless either, allowing opponents 2.23 xG, so the visitors have a realistic chance of scoring. However, Almere’s superior finishing and Ajax II’s very poor away run, featuring two defeats, clearly point towards a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is very clear, as both teams have recorded this outcome in 100% of their matches this season and neither has kept a clean sheet. Almere City score an average of 3.5 goals at home but concede 4.0, while Ajax II average 1.5 goals scored away from home and 2.5 goals conceded. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 2.2 goals per game and the visitors 2.0, while Ajax II have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per match. The xG data also supports goals at both ends: Almere City create chances worth 1.69 xG, Ajax II 1.26, while their defences allow 1.95 and 2.04 xG respectively. Even with Almere’s weaker recent finishing, their BTTS record across the last five matches stands at 60% for the hosts and 80% for the visitors, which, against a league average of 78%, points to both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly favors goals: the league average is as high as 3.85 goals, while over 2.5 goals were scored in 75% of matches. Almere City create an average of 1.69 xG, whereas Ajax II allow opponents 2.04 xG, pointing to approximately 1.88 goals for the home side. The visitors generate 1.26 xG, but Almere City’s defense allows opponents 1.95 xG, meaning their attacking potential also remains significant. In their last five matches, Ajax II conceded 15 goals, or 3.0 per game, while both teams recorded over 2.5 goals in at least 60% of their matches. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have scored in 100% of their matches so far this season and neither has kept a clean sheet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Almere City win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 100% of their last five matches, while Ajax II were trailing at half-time in 60% of their games. After the interval, Almere City clearly improves: across their last five appearances, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, whereas Ajax II have scored 0.8 and allowed 1.4 goals per match. The hosts are also in better form, winning 60% of their last five matches and losing only 20%, while Ajax II have lost 80% of their games. Almere City’s attacking superiority is also reflected in the xG figures, which stand at 1.69 compared with 1.26 for the visitors, while Ajax II have conceded an average of as many as 3.0 goals in their last five matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almere City | Ajax II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almere City is 213% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - Almere City · 0.8 pts / match - Ajax II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almere City is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
2.75 goals / match - Almere City · 2.2 goals / match - Ajax II
Almere City is 273% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Almere City · 2.8 goals / match - Ajax II
Almere City scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Ajax II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Ajax II scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almere City
Over / Under - Ajax II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax II is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Almere City · 1.4 pts / match - Ajax II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almere City - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ajax II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almere City
Ajax II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Almere City | Liga | Ajax II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.50 | 3.79 | ▲ 5.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 11% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Almere City 2 - 0 - 0 Ajax II. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almere City vs Ajax II?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Almere City 0:1 Ajax II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Almere City and Ajax II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Almere City won 2, Ajax II won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Almere City vs Ajax II?
Almere City score 2.75 goals per game on average and Ajax II 2.20. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Almere City's matches and 100% of Ajax II's.
What form are Almere City and Ajax II in?
Over the last 5 games Almere City have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Ajax II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almere City vs Ajax II?
The statistical background for Almere City vs Ajax II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.