Almere City vs Helmond Sport: match statistics
Almere City presents decidedly better home form with 54% of matches won at home and an impressive average of 2.46 goals per match. The hosts show high offensive effectiveness (xG 2.1) and defensive solidity with 38% clean sheets. Helmond Sport performs very poorly away, where they lose as many as 75% of encounters, scoring an average of just 0.67 goals while conceding 2 goals per match. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), which significantly lowers their chances given their negative balance of -16 in away games. The difference in quality of play, confirmed by xG statistics (2.1 vs 1.29) and the form of recent matches, unequivocally speaks for a certain victory for Almere City. The high average of 3.77 goals in the hosts' matches suggests the game may abound in goals, but Almere should control the course of the meeting and reach for the three points.
Almere City vs Helmond Sport: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almere City played Helmond Sport in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Almere City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Helmond Sport: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almere City scores 2.12 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Helmond Sport scores 1.27 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almere City 64%, Helmond Sport 58%. Over 2.5: Almere City 72%, Helmond Sport 65%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Almere City has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.37. Almere City: 17.8 shots per match, Helmond Sport: 12.2.
Match halves
Almere City: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.20. Helmond Sport: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Almere City: 76-90+ (16 goals). Helmond Sport: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almere City presents decidedly better home form with 54% of matches won at home and an impressive average of 2.46 goals per match. The hosts show high offensive effectiveness (xG 2.1) and defensive solidity with 38% clean sheets. Helmond Sport performs very poorly away, where they lose as many as 75% of encounters, scoring an average of just 0.67 goals while conceding 2 goals per match. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), which significantly lowers their chances given their negative balance of -16 in away games. The difference in quality of play, confirmed by xG statistics (2.1 vs 1.29) and the form of recent matches, unequivocally speaks for a certain victory for Almere City. The high average of 3.77 goals in the hosts' matches suggests the game may abound in goals, but Almere should control the course of the meeting and reach for the three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almere City | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almere City is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Almere City · 1 pts / match - Helmond Sport
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almere City is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2.12 goals / match - Almere City · 1.27 goals / match - Helmond Sport
Almere City is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Almere City · 1.73 goals / match - Helmond Sport
Almere City scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Helmond Sport keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Helmond Sport scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almere City
Over / Under - Helmond Sport
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almere City is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Almere City · 1.38 pts / match - Helmond Sport
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almere City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Helmond Sport - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almere City
Helmond Sport
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Almere City | Liga | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.76 | 3.30 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 64% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 66% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 21% | ▲ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Almere City 0 - 0 - 1 Helmond Sport. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almere City vs Helmond Sport?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Almere City 0:1 Helmond Sport. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almere City vs Helmond Sport?
Almere City score 2.12 goals per game on average and Helmond Sport 1.27. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Almere City's matches and 58% of Helmond Sport's.
What form are Almere City and Helmond Sport in?
Over the last 5 games Almere City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Helmond Sport 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almere City vs Helmond Sport?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.