Netherlands - Eerste DivisieYanmar StadionData current as of 18 September 2026

Almere City vs Heracles: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Almere City vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Almere City play Heracles in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 18 September 2026. Venue: Yanmar Stadion.

Current form

Almere City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Heracles: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Almere City scores 2.50 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Heracles scores 4.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Almere City 50%, Heracles 83%. Over 2.5: Almere City 67%, Heracles 100%. League level: BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.

xG, shots and style

Heracles has higher xG: 2.40 vs 1.85. Almere City: 16.7 shots per match, Heracles: 21.2.

Match halves

Almere City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.17. Heracles: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 2.00.

Goals by minute

Almere City: 76-90+ (6 goals). Heracles: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.83 goals per match, BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.20)
(3.85)
(1.99)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.5Goals scored / match4
Almere CityHeracles
0.67Goals conceded / match1.5
Almere CityHeracles
41%Average possession55%
Almere CityHeracles
6.83Shots on target / match9.17
Almere CityHeracles

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.67Shots per match21.17
Almere CityHeracles
6.83Shots on target9.17
Almere CityHeracles
15%Shot conversion18.9%
Almere CityHeracles
41%Possession55%
Almere CityHeracles
1.85xG for2.4
Almere CityHeracles
1.87xG against1.17
Almere CityHeracles

Shooting quality

Almere City: Counter-attackingHeracles: Dominant
Almere CityHeracles
Accuracy (shots on target)41%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Heracles is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Almere City · 3 pts / match - Heracles

Almere City
WWWLW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Heracles
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.38Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Heracles is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

2.5 goals / match - Almere City · 4 goals / match - Heracles

Almere City is 124% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Almere City · 1.5 goals / match - Heracles

Almere City scoring profile: very strong

Almere City scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Heracles scoring profile: very strong

Heracles scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

15Goals scored (season)24
Almere CityHeracles
4Goals conceded (season)9
Almere CityHeracles
3.17Average goals in match5.5
Almere CityHeracles
14Goals scored (last 5)20
Almere CityHeracles
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Almere CityHeracles

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
Almere CityHeracles
67%2 goals100%
Almere CityHeracles
67%3 goals100%
Almere CityHeracles
33%4 goals50%
Almere CityHeracles

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal83%
Almere CityHeracles
0%2 goals50%
Almere CityHeracles
0%3 goals17%
Almere CityHeracles
0%4 goals0%
Almere CityHeracles

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

75%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time17%
Almere CityHeracles
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Almere CityHeracles
33%Scored in both halves100%
Almere CityHeracles

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
Almere CityHeracles
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Almere CityHeracles
40%BTTS - last 580%
Almere CityHeracles

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Almere CityHeracles
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Almere CityHeracles
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Almere CityHeracles

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Almere CityHeracles
83%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
Almere CityHeracles
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time67%
Almere CityHeracles

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Heracles is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Almere City · 2.5 pts / match - Heracles

Almere City - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Heracles - half-time state
83% leading0% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)2.5
Almere CityHeracles
0.33Goals scored (1st half)2
Almere CityHeracles
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Almere CityHeracles
0.67Average goals (1st half)2.33
Almere CityHeracles
67%Clean sheet before half-time83%
Almere CityHeracles
67%No goal before half-time0%
Almere CityHeracles

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per match (2nd half)1.83
Almere CityHeracles
2.17Goals scored (2nd half)2
Almere CityHeracles
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
Almere CityHeracles
2.5Average goals (2nd half)3.17
Almere CityHeracles
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Almere CityHeracles
17%No goal after half-time0%
Almere CityHeracles

Almere City - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Heracles - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
15
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Almere City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.40
Goals scored / match0.42.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.82.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+11
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Heracles - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.402.20
Goals scored / match2.02.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match2.42.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+8+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Almere City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
1
61-75
6
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Heracles
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
8
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
6
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Almere City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.8
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Heracles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
225%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

Almere CityLigaHeracles
Average goals in match 3.173.83 5.50
Both teams scored 50%75% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%72% 100%
Clean sheets 33%13% 17%
Goal before half-time 33%80% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%89% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.83
Average goals per match
75%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
13%
Clean sheets
2.05
Home goals / match
1.78
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
63%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Almere City and Heracles play?

Almere City face Heracles on 18 September 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Yanmar Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Almere City vs Heracles?

Almere City score 2.50 goals per game on average and Heracles 4.00. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Almere City's matches and 83% of Heracles's.

What form are Almere City and Heracles in?

Over the last 5 games Almere City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Heracles 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almere City vs Heracles?

The statistical background for Almere City vs Heracles — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.