Almere City vs Heracles: match statistics
Almere City vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almere City played Heracles in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 18 September 2026. Venue: Yanmar Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Almere City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Heracles: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almere City scores 2.50 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Heracles scores 4.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almere City 50%, Heracles 83%. Over 2.5: Almere City 67%, Heracles 100%. League level: BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Heracles has higher xG: 2.40 vs 1.85. Almere City: 16.7 shots per match, Heracles: 21.2.
Match halves
Almere City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.17. Heracles: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
Almere City: 76-90+ (6 goals). Heracles: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.83 goals per match, BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heracles lead the table with a perfect record of 6 wins, while Almere City have a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The visitors are on an excellent run of five consecutive victories, scoring 20 goals during this period, while the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and netted 14 goals. Away from home, Heracles create more chances, averaging 19 shots and 7.33 shots on target per match, with an xG of 2.11, compared with Almere’s 16.5 shots, 5 shots on target and xG of 1.77 at home. The biggest difference lies in finishing efficiency: Heracles average 4.33 goals away from home and convert 23% of their shots, whereas Almere score 1.5 goals with a 9% conversion rate. The hosts can pose a threat, as Heracles concede 1.67 goals per away match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, but the visitors’ attacking advantage and perfect away record point towards an outcome of 2.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Heracles’ profile provides a strong argument for both teams to score: the team recorded BTTS in 100% of its matches this season and in 80% of its last five fixtures, while failing to keep a single clean sheet. Heracles average 4.33 goals per match this season and 4.00 across their last five appearances, with an xG of 2.11, so even Almere’s recently improved defence should not completely shut out the visitors. Almere also possess clear attacking potential, averaging 3.67 goals, 11.0 shots on target and an xG of 2.68, while Heracles concede an average of 1.67 goals per match. Although the hosts have allowed just 0.6 goals across their last five matches and their BTTS rate has fallen to 40%, their recent xG against stands at 1.88, indicating that opponents are still creating chances against them. In addition, the league-wide BTTS average is a high 74%, and both teams have played a full set of matches featuring at least three goals. Therefore, the most likely scenario is one in which both sides find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Almere City matches produce an average of 3.67 goals, while Heracles games average as many as 4.33, compared with a league average of 3.81. Both teams have gone Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far this season, while Over 2.5 has landed in 80% and 100% of their respective last five games. Almere create a high volume of chances at home, averaging 2.68 xG and 11 shots on target, while Heracles have generated 2.11 xG and scored an average of 4.0 goals across their last five matches. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches, while both teams have scored at least one goal in 100% of games, making a scenario with one goal or fewer highly unlikely. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.65 goals provides a clear margin above this line even with below-par finishing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Heracles have a clearly stronger first-half profile: in their last five matches, they were leading at the break in 80% of games, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 0.4. Over the same period, Almere were level at half-time in all five matches, scoring only 0.4 goals before the break, but defending equally solidly, which increases the likelihood of an even start. After the interval, however, the advantage shifts to the home side, who have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded in the second halves of their last five appearances, compared with Heracles’ 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Almere have also created more chances over the course of the season, recording an xG of 2.68 compared with their opponents’ 2.11, as well as 11.0 shots on target per match versus Heracles’ 7.33. The most likely outcome is therefore a draw at half-time followed by an Almere victory, driven by their very strong and effective performance after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almere City | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heracles is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Almere City · 3 pts / match - Heracles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heracles is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Almere City · 4 goals / match - Heracles
Almere City is 124% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Almere City · 1.5 goals / match - Heracles
Almere City scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Heracles scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almere City
Over / Under - Heracles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heracles is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Almere City · 2.5 pts / match - Heracles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almere City - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +11 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almere City
Heracles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Almere City | Liga | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.17 | 3.83 | ▲ 5.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 13% | ▲ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Almere City vs Heracles?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Almere City 1:0 Heracles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almere City vs Heracles?
Almere City score 2.50 goals per game on average and Heracles 4.00. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Almere City's matches and 83% of Heracles's.
What form are Almere City and Heracles in?
Over the last 5 games Almere City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Heracles 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almere City vs Heracles?
The statistical background for Almere City vs Heracles — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.