Almería vs Mirandés: match statistics
Almería vs Mirandés: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almería play Mirandés in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Almería: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Mirandés: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almería scores 1.87 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Mirandés scores 1.12 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almería 72%, Mirandés 64%. Over 2.5: Almería 70%, Mirandés 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Almería has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.35. Almería: 15.2 shots per match, Mirandés: 12.3.
Match halves
Almería: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.04. Mirandés: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Almería: 76-90+ (22 goals). Mirandés: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Almería sit 3rd in the table, win 72% of matches at home, scoring an average of 2.56 goals per game and tallying 74 goals this season. Mirandés are 20th, have won only 22% of away matches, score 1.17 goals on average and fail to score in 33% of away fixtures, which limits their chances. Almería create significantly more high-quality chances — at home they average 17.39 shots and 6.83 on target with xG 1.93, while Mirandés away record 10.61 shots, 3.44 on target and xG 1.15. Defensively Almería concede 1.44 goals at home and have allowed 12 goals in the last 5 matches, whereas Mirandés concede 1.72 goals away and have only a 6% clean sheet rate on the road, so I expect goals from both sides. Considering the shots on target advantage (6.83 vs 3.44), xG edge (1.93 vs 1.15) and the home win rate of 72% versus Mirandés’ 56% away loss rate, I price the chances at 65% for Almería, 20% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almería | Mirandés | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almería is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Almería · 0.8 pts / match - Mirandés
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almería is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - Almería · 1.12 goals / match - Mirandés
Almería is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Almería · 1.64 goals / match - Mirandés
Almería scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Mirandés keeps a clean sheet in 7% (3 of 42 matches).
Mirandés scores in 67% of matches (28 of 42 matches), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Almería
Over / Under — Mirandés
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almería is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Almería · 1.07 pts / match - Mirandés
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almería - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mirandés - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almería
Mirandés
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Almería | Liga | Mirandés | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 2.63 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Almería 0 - 1 - 0 Mirandés. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almería vs Mirandés?
The Segunda División match finished Almería 4:2 Mirandés. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almería vs Mirandés?
Almería score 1.87 goals per game on average and Mirandés 1.12. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Almería's matches and 64% of Mirandés's.
What form are Almería and Mirandés in?
Over the last 5 games Almería have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mirandés 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almería vs Mirandés?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.