Spain - Segunda DivisiónData current as of 21 October 2026

Almería vs Real Oviedo: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Almería vs Real Oviedo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Almería play Real Oviedo in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 24 October 2026.

Current form

Almería: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Real Oviedo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Almería scores 2.00 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Real Oviedo scores 1.30 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Almería 30%, Real Oviedo 40%. Over 2.5: Almería 50%, Real Oviedo 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Real Oviedo has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.46. Almería: 13.2 shots per match, Real Oviedo: 15.0.

Match halves

Almería: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.90. Real Oviedo: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Almería: 31-45+ (6 goals). Real Oviedo: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Segunda División: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.90)
(3.52)
(4.35)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match1.3
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
0.7Goals conceded / match1
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
55%Average possession49%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
4.6Shots on target / match4.9
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.2Shots per match15
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
4.6Shots on target4.9
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
15.2%Shot conversion8.7%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
55%Possession49%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
1.46xG for1.62
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
1.42xG against1.54
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

Shooting quality

Almería: Efficient finishingReal Oviedo: Attacking
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Almería is 67% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Almería · 1.8 pts / match - Real Oviedo

Almería
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
80% W0% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-0-2
2.40 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Real Oviedo
LWLWW
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Almería is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Almería · 1.3 goals / match - Real Oviedo

Almería is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.7 goals / match - Almería · 1 goals / match - Real Oviedo

Almería scoring profile: strong

Almería scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Real Oviedo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).

Real Oviedo scoring profile: mixed

Real Oviedo scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).

20Goals scored (season)13
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
7Goals conceded (season)10
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
2.7Average goals in match2.3
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
12Goals scored (last 5)9
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal70%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
70%2 goals40%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
40%3 goals20%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
10%4 goals0%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal50%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
20%2 goals20%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
0%3 goals20%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
0%4 goals10%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time0%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
10%Scored in both halves40%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
40%BTTS - last 580%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Oviedo is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / match - Almería · 2 pts / match - Real Oviedo

Almería - half-time state
50% leading30% draw20% trailing
Real Oviedo - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)2
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
1.1Goals scored (1st half)0.7
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
1.4Average goals (1st half)1
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
70%Clean sheet before half-time80%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
50%No goal before half-time40%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.3
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.3
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
70%Clean sheet after half-time60%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
60%No goal after half-time50%
AlmeríaReal Oviedo

Almería - second-half results

30% W50% D20% L
18
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Oviedo - second-half results

20% W70% D10% L
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Almería - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.80
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Real Oviedo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Almería
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
6
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Real Oviedo
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Almería

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.72
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Real Oviedo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).

Teams vs league

AlmeríaLigaReal Oviedo
Average goals in match• 2.702.65▼ 2.30
Both teams scored▼ 30%50%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 50%49%• 50%
Clean sheets▲ 50%29%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time• 70%70%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%75%▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Almería and Real Oviedo play?

Almería face Real Oviedo on 24 October 2026 in Segunda División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Almería vs Real Oviedo?

Almería score 2.00 goals per game on average and Real Oviedo 1.30. The Segunda División average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Almería's matches and 40% of Real Oviedo's.

What form are Almería and Real Oviedo in?

Over the last 5 games Almería have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Real Oviedo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almería vs Real Oviedo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.