Almería vs UD Las Palmas: match statistics
Almería vs UD Las Palmas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almería played UD Las Palmas in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Almería: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. UD Las Palmas: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almería scores 2.00 and concedes 1.49 goals per match. UD Las Palmas scores 1.33 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almería 72%, UD Las Palmas 54%. Over 2.5: Almería 72%, UD Las Palmas 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Almería has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.35. Almería: 15.4 shots per match, UD Las Palmas: 12.0.
Match halves
Almería: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.05. UD Las Palmas: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Almería: 76-90+ (19 goals). UD Las Palmas: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almería are the favorites for this match, particularly at home where they average 2.63 goals per game, 6.63 shots on target and an average xG of 1.90, while UD Las Palmas away record shows only 1.05 goals, 3.63 shots on target and xG 1.27. The hosts also hold an edge in efficiency — a 16% conversion rate at home versus 9% for the visitors — and an impressive home win rate of 74% compared to Las Palmas’ 32% away wins. In their last five matches Almería have scored 12 and conceded 11 (form lwwwd, averaging 2 points per game), whereas Las Palmas have scored 7 and conceded 9 (form lwwwl, 1.8 points per game), which indicates better attacking form for the hosts. Las Palmas’ defense is relatively tight on the road (1.26 average goals conceded vs Almería’s 1.47 conceded at home) and they keep a clean sheet in 32% of away matches, but Almería’s higher efficiency and greater volume of clear chances (avg xG 1.90 and 6.63 shots on target) give them the offensive advantage. Therefore I expect a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS comes from Almería’s recent form: BTTS occurred in 80% of their last 5 matches, with hosts averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. UD Las Palmas has 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded, and seasonally away BTTS is 58% for Las Palmas versus 50% for Almería at home. xG and shot comparison indicate attacking potential on both sides: Almería xG 1.43, 12.65 shots and 4.75 on target; Las Palmas xG 1.27, 11.32 shots and 3.63 on target, with conversion rates 13% vs 9%. Seasonally Almería concedes 0.65 goals per match and have scored 78 goals, while Las Palmas averages 1.05 scored and 1.26 conceded per match (52 scored, 37 conceded), yet the last 5 matches for both teams suggest greater defensive openness. Considering 80% vs 60% in the last 5 matches, seasonal 50%/58% BTTS and the league average BTTS 55%, I assess BTTS at 70% vs 30% and pick "yes" (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high season share of matches over 1.5 goals: 70% for Almería and 68% for Las Palmas, with Almería averaging 1.6 goals versus 1.05 for Las Palmas. Based on xG: Almería's xG is 1.43 against Las Palmas’ average xG conceded of 1.36, while Las Palmas’ xG is 1.27 against Almería’s defense at 1.02, yielding expected goals of 1.40 for the home side and 1.15 for the visitors, totaling 2.55. In the last 5 matches Almería averaged 2.4 goals and Las Palmas 1.4, with shots on target 4.75 (Almería) vs 3.63 (Las Palmas) and conversion rates of 13% vs 9%, which increases scoring propensity. Season Over 2.5 rates are moderate (45% and 42%), but last-5 form shows 80% and 60% Over 2.5, therefore I assess Over 2.5 as moderately likely (~60%). Considering the projected 2.55 goals and the high shares of matches over 1.5, the strongest signal from the data is to play the Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Almería has a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 11 matches (55%), scoring on average 0.95 goals before halftime compared to just 0.42 for UD Las Palmas. The hosts are also stronger over the full 90 minutes – they average 1.6 goals and concede 0.65 per match, win 60% of home fixtures and collect 2.05 points per home game, whereas the visitors average 1.05 goals, concede 1.26 and win 32% of matches. Chance quality favors Almería: home xG 1.43 versus 1.27 for the visitors, 4.75 shots on target vs 3.63 and a conversion rate of 13% against 9% — this confirms the hosts create more dangerous opportunities. After the break Las Palmas shows greater activity (on average 0.63 goals scored after halftime and 1.47 average goals in the second halves of their matches), but Almería concedes only 0.3 goals after the break and has a +7 goal differential in second halves, which reduces the risk of surrendering a lead. Therefore the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (Almería leading at half-time and winning).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almería | UD Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almería is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Almería · 1.8 pts / match - UD Las Palmas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almería is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Almería · 1.33 goals / match - UD Las Palmas
UD Las Palmas is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.49 goals / match - Almería · 0.95 goals / match - UD Las Palmas
Almería scores in 87% of matches (34 of 39 matches), while UD Las Palmas keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
UD Las Palmas scores in 77% of matches (30 of 39 matches), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almería
Over / Under - UD Las Palmas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almería - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UD Las Palmas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almería
UD Las Palmas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Almería | Liga | UD Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.49 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Almería 1 - 0 - 0 UD Las Palmas. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almería vs UD Las Palmas?
The Segunda División match finished Almería 1:2 UD Las Palmas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almería vs UD Las Palmas?
Almería score 2.00 goals per game on average and UD Las Palmas 1.33. The Segunda División average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Almería's matches and 54% of UD Las Palmas's.
What form are Almería and UD Las Palmas in?
Over the last 5 games Almería have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and UD Las Palmas 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almería vs UD Las Palmas?
The statistical background for Almería vs UD Las Palmas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.