Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio Fragata Presidente SarmientoData current as of 21 October 2026

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Almirante Brown play Deportivo Morón in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

Current form

Almirante Brown: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Deportivo Morón: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Almirante Brown scores 0.82 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Deportivo Morón scores 1.50 and concedes 1.06. League average: 1.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Almirante Brown 29%, Deportivo Morón 53%. Over 2.5: Almirante Brown 21%, Deportivo Morón 53%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 33%.

xG, shots and style

Deportivo Morón has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.31. Almirante Brown: 9.8 shots per match, Deportivo Morón: 10.5.

Match halves

Almirante Brown: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.47. Deportivo Morón: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Almirante Brown: 76-90+ (10 goals). Deportivo Morón: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.95 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 33%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.47)
(2.75)
(3.10)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0.82Goals scored / match1.5
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0.71Goals conceded / match1.06
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
51%Average possession50%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
3.06Shots on target / match3.76
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.79Shots per match10.47
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
3.06Shots on target3.76
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
8.4%Shot conversion14.3%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
51%Possession50%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
1.31xG for1.41
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
1.29xG against1.18
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

Shooting quality

Almirante Brown: BalancedDeportivo Morón: Efficient finishing
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Deportivo Morón is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Almirante Brown · 0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Morón

Almirante Brown
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
35% W35% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-12-10
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-5-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Deportivo Morón
LLWLL
Season result split
50% W21% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-7-10
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-8
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportivo Morón is 83% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Almirante Brown · 1.5 goals / match - Deportivo Morón

Almirante Brown is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.71 goals / match - Almirante Brown · 1.06 goals / match - Deportivo Morón

Almirante Brown scoring profile: strong

Almirante Brown scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Deportivo Morón keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

Deportivo Morón scoring profile: mixed

Deportivo Morón scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Almirante Brown keeps a clean sheet in 53% (18 of 34 matches).

28Goals scored (season)51
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
24Goals conceded (season)36
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
1.53Average goals in match2.56
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal76%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
21%2 goals53%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
3%3 goals15%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0%4 goals6%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

How often they concede at least...

47%1 goal71%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
18%2 goals35%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
6%3 goals0%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0%4 goals0%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
Deportivo Morón - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 34 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time15%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
15%Scored in both halves32%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
60%BTTS - last 560%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

47%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Morón is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Almirante Brown · 1.71 pts / match - Deportivo Morón

Almirante Brown - half-time state
26% leading59% draw15% trailing
Deportivo Morón - half-time state
44% leading38% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.71
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.76
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0.26Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0.62Average goals (1st half)1.09
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
79%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
65%No goal before half-time47%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.44
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.74
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
0.91Average goals (2nd half)1.47
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
68%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón
62%No goal after half-time44%
Almirante BrownDeportivo Morón

Almirante Brown - second-half results

29% W47% D24% L
47
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Deportivo Morón - second-half results

38% W29% D32% L
58
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+15
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Almirante Brown - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Deportivo Morón - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.20
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Almirante Brown
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
5
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
2
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Deportivo Morón
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
10
2
16-30
14
5
31-45
11
9
46-60
7
5
61-75
7
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Almirante Brown

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Deportivo Morón

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
197%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

Almirante BrownLigaDeportivo Morón
Average goals in match▼ 1.531.95▲ 2.56
Both teams scored▼ 29%40%▲ 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 21%33%▲ 53%
Clean sheets▲ 53%38%▼ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 47%56%▲ 68%
Goal after half-time▼ 62%70%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.95
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
0.76
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Almirante Brown 0 - 1 - 2 Deportivo Morón. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Deportivo Morón
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
CD Morón
2 : 0
Club Almirante Brown
Club Almirante Brown
1 : 1
CD Morón

FAQ

When do Almirante Brown and Deportivo Morón play?

Almirante Brown face Deportivo Morón on 25 October 2026 in Prim B Nacional at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Almirante Brown and Deportivo Morón?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 0, Deportivo Morón won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón?

Almirante Brown score 0.82 goals per game on average and Deportivo Morón 1.50. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Almirante Brown's matches and 53% of Deportivo Morón's.

What form are Almirante Brown and Deportivo Morón in?

Over the last 5 games Almirante Brown have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Deportivo Morón 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.