Almirante Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros: match statistics
Almirante Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almirante Brown play Estudiantes Caseros in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 20:00. Venue: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Almirante Brown: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Estudiantes Caseros: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almirante Brown scores 0.71 and concedes 0.62 goals per match. Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.86 and concedes 0.76. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almirante Brown 29%, Estudiantes Caseros 29%. Over 2.5: Almirante Brown 19%, Estudiantes Caseros 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Almirante Brown has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.10. Almirante Brown: 9.9 shots per match, Estudiantes Caseros: 8.8.
Match halves
Almirante Brown: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38. Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Almirante Brown: 76-90+ (4 goals). Estudiantes Caseros: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Almirante Brown has a clear home advantage in chance creation — average xG in their home matches is 1.53 versus 1.20 xG for Estudiantes away, and average shots on target are 3.6 vs 2.8. The hosts have scored 15 goals this season and concede only 0.6 goals per home game on average, while Estudiantes have 18 goals this season and concede 0.9 on the road. In the last 5 matches the hosts are 3-1-1 (6 scored, 3 conceded), whereas the visitors are unbeaten in a 3-2 run with an 8–3 goal record, translating to 2.2 points per game for Estudiantes versus 2.0 for Almirante. The visitors’ weakness is that 50% of their away matches end without them scoring compared to 30% for the hosts, which reduces their efficiency despite strong recent form. Considering the higher xG (1.53 vs 1.2), better average shots on target (3.6 vs 2.8), lower average goals conceded at home (0.6 vs 0.9) and 50% clean sheets for the hosts, I expect an Almirante Brown win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almirante Brown | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Caseros is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Almirante Brown · 0.86 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Almirante Brown is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.62 goals / match - Almirante Brown · 0.76 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Almirante Brown scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Almirante Brown keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Almirante Brown
Over / Under — Estudiantes Caseros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almirante Brown is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Almirante Brown · 1.24 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almirante Brown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almirante Brown
Estudiantes Caseros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Almirante Brown | Liga | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 56% | • 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Almirante Brown 1 - 0 - 2 Estudiantes Caseros. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almirante Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Almirante Brown 0:0 Estudiantes Caseros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Almirante Brown and Estudiantes Caseros?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 1, Estudiantes Caseros won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Almirante Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Almirante Brown score 0.71 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Caseros 0.86. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Almirante Brown's matches and 29% of Estudiantes Caseros's.
What form are Almirante Brown and Estudiantes Caseros in?
Over the last 5 games Almirante Brown have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Estudiantes Caseros 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almirante Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.