Almirante Brown vs Los Andes: match statistics
Almirante Brown vs Los Andes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almirante Brown played Los Andes in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 4 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Almirante Brown: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Los Andes: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almirante Brown scores 0.72 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Los Andes scores 0.89 and concedes 0.33. League average: 1.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almirante Brown 28%, Los Andes 17%. Over 2.5: Almirante Brown 22%, Los Andes 11%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Los Andes has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.27. Almirante Brown: 9.9 shots per match, Los Andes: 10.7.
Match halves
Almirante Brown: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.39. Los Andes: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Almirante Brown: 76-90+ (4 goals). Los Andes: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.86 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the visitors — Los Andes — primarily due to their defense: away they concede on average 0.38 goals per game and keep 75% clean sheets, while Almirante Brown at home concede 0.67 goals and have 44% clean sheets. The hosts generate higher xG at home (1.46 vs 1.33 xG for the visitors) and have more possession (55% vs 47%), but their chance conversion is lower: 3.56 shots on target per match and 9% finishing rate, compared to 4.0 SOT and 13% conversion for Los Andes. Almirante Brown fail to score in 33% of home matches, whereas Los Andes fail to score in only 25% of away fixtures, confirming the visitors’ greater offensive reliability. In the last 5 matches Los Andes have scored 6 and conceded 2 (PPG 1.6), while the hosts have scored 5 and conceded 4 (PPG 1.4); additionally the visitors have a better away goal difference (+7 vs +3 for the hosts). Considering the lower goals conceded, higher shot efficiency and better recent form, I tip a Los Andes victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show very low season BTTS rates: Almirante Brown 10% and Los Andes 25%, versus a league average of 38%, which already favors the "No" scenario. Additionally, both sides frequently keep clean sheets — 70% of home matches and 75% of away matches — and average goals are 0.6 for Almirante and 1.25 for Los Andes (total 1.85, close to the league average 1.86), so matches are generally low-scoring. xG analysis shows the teams generate similar expected chances (xG 1.47 vs 1.33), but opponents create xG against them of about 1.1 and 1.63 while actual goals conceded are only 0.3 and 0.38, indicating effective defense or low opponent finishing. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 40% for the home side and 20% for the away side, and with very low home shot conversion (5% vs 13% for visitors) the most consistent signal from the data points to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG: Almirante Brown has xG_for 1.47 and Los Andes xG_against 1.63, yielding about 1.55 goals for the home side; conversely Los Andes has xG_for 1.33 vs the home side’s xG_against 1.10 → about 1.22 goals for the away side, totaling 2.77. In the last 5 matches the teams averaged 1.0 (Almirante, 5 goals in 5 matches) and 1.2 (Los Andes, 6 goals in 5 matches), i.e. 2.2 goals combined, which supports the over 1.5 scenario. Season percentages show Los Andes have 63% of matches over 1.5, Almirante 30%, but both teams have a high share of clean sheets (70% and 75%), explaining the rarity of exceeding 2.5 (0% for Almirante, 25% for Los Andes) and 3.5 (0%/0%). Additionally, finishing rate 13% (Los Andes) vs 5% (Almirante) and average shots 11.3 and 10.0 suggest most chances may convert into goals on Los Andes’ side, so the strongest signal from the data is over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time I expect a draw: Almirante averages only 0.2 goals by the break and records a half-time draw in 70% of home matches, while Los Andes averages 0.75 first-half goals and leads at the break in 50% of their games. Both teams have very high half-time clean sheet rates (90% for Almirante, 88% for Los Andes) and low rates of both teams scoring by half-time (0% and 13%), which suggests a low-scoring first half (0:0 or 0:1). In the second half the statistics favor Los Andes: the visitors average 0.5 goals after the break, win 50% of second halves and register an average of 1.88 points in that segment, whereas Almirante posts 0.4 goals and 30% second-half wins. Over the full match Los Andes have higher goals and finishing efficiency (1.63 goals per game and a 13% shot conversion rate versus 0.9 and 5% for Almirante), although the home side’s xG is slightly higher (1.47 vs 1.33), indicating the visitors convert chances more effectively; therefore I tip a half-time draw and a Los Andes win (X/2) as the strongest scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almirante Brown | Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Los Andes is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Almirante Brown · 1.6 pts / match - Los Andes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Andes is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.72 goals / match - Almirante Brown · 0.89 goals / match - Los Andes
Los Andes is 103% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Almirante Brown · 0.33 goals / match - Los Andes
Almirante Brown scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Los Andes keeps a clean sheet in 72% (13 of 18 matches).
Los Andes scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Almirante Brown keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almirante Brown
Over / Under - Los Andes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Los Andes is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Almirante Brown · 1.56 pts / match - Los Andes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almirante Brown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Los Andes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almirante Brown
Los Andes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Almirante Brown | Liga | Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.39 | 1.86 | ▼ 1.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 39% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 30% | ▼ 11% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Almirante Brown 0 - 1 - 0 Los Andes. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almirante Brown vs Los Andes?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Almirante Brown 1:0 Los Andes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almirante Brown vs Los Andes?
Almirante Brown score 0.72 goals per game on average and Los Andes 0.89. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Almirante Brown's matches and 17% of Los Andes's.
What form are Almirante Brown and Los Andes in?
Over the last 5 games Almirante Brown have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Los Andes 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almirante Brown vs Los Andes?
The statistical background for Almirante Brown vs Los Andes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.