Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez: match statistics
Almirante Brown displays impressive home form with a 100% success rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and a positive goal difference of 4:3. Tristán Suárez, on the other hand, remains unbeaten this season (2-3-0), demonstrating defensive solidity with just 2 goals conceded in 5 matches. A key factor is the visitors' away statistics – 100% draws in away matches and 100% clean sheets, indicating a very defensive approach. Tristán Suárez's advantage in ball possession (55% vs 51%) and better xG (1.2 vs 1.16) suggest a balanced contest. Considering the hosts' excellent home streak and the visitors' remarkable defensive solidity away, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the hosts have a real chance to capitalize on home advantage.
Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almirante Brown played Tristán Suárez in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Almirante Brown: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tristán Suárez: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almirante Brown scores 0.80 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Tristán Suárez scores 1.20 and concedes 0.40. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almirante Brown 40%, Tristán Suárez 40%. Over 2.5: Almirante Brown 40%, Tristán Suárez 40%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Tristán Suárez has higher xG: 1.17 vs 0.96. Almirante Brown: 8.4 shots per match, Tristán Suárez: 10.0.
Match halves
Almirante Brown: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Tristán Suárez: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Almirante Brown: 0-15 (1 goals). Tristán Suárez: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almirante Brown displays impressive home form with a 100% success rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and a positive goal difference of 4:3. Tristán Suárez, on the other hand, remains unbeaten this season (2-3-0), demonstrating defensive solidity with just 2 goals conceded in 5 matches. A key factor is the visitors' away statistics – 100% draws in away matches and 100% clean sheets, indicating a very defensive approach. Tristán Suárez's advantage in ball possession (55% vs 51%) and better xG (1.2 vs 1.16) suggest a balanced contest. Considering the hosts' excellent home streak and the visitors' remarkable defensive solidity away, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the hosts have a real chance to capitalize on home advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The data from Tristán Suárez's away matches shows a very strong trend towards 'no': an average of 0.0 goals scored away, 100% FTS and 0% BTTS. Almirante Brown concedes little at home (0.5 goals per match, xGA 0.59) and has a 50% clean sheet rate, which further lowers the chances of the visitors scoring. At the same time, the hosts have decent goal production at home (1.5 goals) and a better shot volume (11.0 vs 6.0), so a scenario where only one side scores is more likely. In the last 5 matches, BTTS for both teams stands at 40% each, but with low goals conceded values (0.6 and 0.4), this does not override the negative signal from the visitors' away data. The league also favors outcomes without BTTS (BTTS 42% with a very high clean sheet percentage of 74%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model based on xG suggests a moderately low goal tally: Almirante Brown has an xG for of 1.17, while Tristán Suárez has an xG against of 0.91, giving approximately 1.05 goals for the hosts. On the other hand, the visitors' xG for (1.20) clashes with the hosts' very low xG against (0.59), lowering expectations to approximately 0.80 goals for Tristán Suárez. Seasonal data and the league profile reinforce the under scenario: both teams have 100% of matches under 3.5, and the league average (1.88 goals/match) is on the low side. The defenses look solid (CS: 50% for the hosts and 100% for the visitors), and the visitors generate few shots (6.0/match), limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. Consequently, the strongest signal is Under 3.5, as an unusually 'open' match would be required to beat it, given these metrics.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tristán Suárez has an extremely 'draw-prone' profile: 100% draws this season with a 100% clean sheet rate and simultaneously 0.0 goals scored and 100% FTS, which strongly boosts the 0:0 scenario. In the first half, the visitors are also perfectly level (100% draws at the break), while at Almirante Brown, HT draws dominate (50%), supporting an X tip for HT. The league is generally low-scoring (average 1.88 goals), and high CS percentages (74%) further favour a goalless outcome. Despite the hosts' advantage in PPG (2.0 vs 1.0) and a better goal difference (1.5 scored / 0.5 conceded), the visitors' defensive and 'clean sheet' profile increases the chances the match remains locked until the end. The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (often 0:0), with an alternative being a late swing to 1:0 for the home team.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almirante Brown | Tristán Suárez | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tristán Suárez is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Almirante Brown · 1.8 pts / match - Tristán Suárez
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tristán Suárez is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Almirante Brown · 1.2 goals / match - Tristán Suárez
Tristán Suárez is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Almirante Brown · 0.4 goals / match - Tristán Suárez
Almirante Brown scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Tristán Suárez keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Tristán Suárez scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Almirante Brown keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almirante Brown
Over / Under - Tristán Suárez
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almirante Brown is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Almirante Brown · 1.2 pts / match - Tristán Suárez
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almirante Brown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tristán Suárez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almirante Brown
Tristán Suárez
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Almirante Brown | Liga | Tristán Suárez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.40 | 1.84 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 41% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 38% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Almirante Brown 0:1 Tristán Suárez. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez?
Almirante Brown score 0.80 goals per game on average and Tristán Suárez 1.20. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Almirante Brown's matches and 40% of Tristán Suárez's.
What form are Almirante Brown and Tristán Suárez in?
Over the last 5 games Almirante Brown have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tristán Suárez 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez?
The statistical background for Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.