Alta vs Fort Wayne: match statistics

Alta clearly benefit from the stronger home conditions: they average 1.55 goals compared with Fort Wayne’s 1.20 away from home, while conceding just 0.91 goals per match versus 1.40 for the visitors. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 14.18 shots and an xG of 1.74, whereas Fort Wayne record 11.8 shots and an xG of 1.35 away from home. Recent form also favours Alta, who have collected 7 points from their last five matches, while the visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 games and conceded 9 goals in that run. Fort Wayne have won just 30% of their away matches, whereas Alta have lost only 9% of their home fixtures. However, Alta’s high 55% draw rate in front of their home supporters increases the likelihood of a closely contested encounter.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Alta’s defensive record: they concede an average of just 0.63 goals per match this season and keep a clean sheet in 63% of their games. Fort Wayne score an average of 1.20 goals, but their 20% rate of matches without scoring highlights a genuine risk that they may fail to break down the well-organized hosts. Alta should still create chances, as their average xG stands at 1.60, while Fort Wayne allow opponents 1.56 xG and have conceded an average of 1.80 goals over their last five matches. Alta’s defensive form has weakened slightly recently, conceding 1.40 goals per game across five rounds, while both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of those matches. Despite this, Alta’s season BTTS rate of just 25% and their strong clean-sheet record give a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Alta scores an average of 1.63 goals per match, while Fort Wayne concedes 1.40, with the visitors allowing opponents as many as 1.80 goals on average in their last five games. The hosts also create more high-quality chances: their average xG stands at 1.60, rising to 1.76 over their last five matches. The 1.5-goal line has been covered in 75% of Alta’s matches and 90% of Fort Wayne’s, providing very strong support for at least two goals. Although Alta has kept a clean sheet in 63% of its matches this season, its recent defensive performances have seen the team concede an average of 1.40 goals, while both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of their respective last five appearances. Over 1.5 has the edge, as the projected total of 2.60 goals leaves a clear margin of safety above this line.

Alta have a clearly superior overall season record: they score an average of 1.63 goals and concede just 0.63, while Fort Wayne score 1.20 and allow opponents 1.40 goals per match. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 63% of their games, compared with just 20% for the visitors, and also average 5.13 shots on target per match against Fort Wayne’s 3.50. Before half-time, Alta score an average of 1.00 goal and concede only 0.29, making an Alta lead at the break more likely than an effective start from the visitors. Fort Wayne have lost 80% of their last five matches, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per game during that period. The scenario of Alta leading at half-time and securing a full-time victory is further supported by the hosts’ highly solid performance after the interval, when they concede only 0.14 goals on average.