Alta vs Spokane Velocity: match statistics
Alta vs Spokane Velocity: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alta played Spokane Velocity in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Alta: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Spokane Velocity: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alta scores 1.64 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Spokane Velocity scores 1.50 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alta 64%, Spokane Velocity 60%. Over 2.5: Alta 64%, Spokane Velocity 60%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Alta has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.33. Alta: 12.7 shots per match, Spokane Velocity: 11.0.
Match halves
Alta: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64. Spokane Velocity: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Alta: 0-15 (5 goals). Spokane Velocity: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alta has a clear home advantage: they average 1.88 goals per game, 14.25 shots (4.75 on target) and 61% possession, with a home xG of 1.71. Spokane are poor away — only 0.5 goals per game, 11 shots (3.5 on target), 48% possession and just 5% conversion; in 50% of their away matches they failed to score and have 0% wins. Defensively, Alta concedes 1.13 goals per home match with 38% clean sheets and a home goal difference of +6, while Spokane concede 1.75 away with a -5 goal difference and 25% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Spokane have won 4/5 and average 2.4 points per game, Alta have won 3/5 and average 2.0 points per game — the visitors are in form, but their low away efficiency (0.5 goals with 1.33 xG and 5% conversion) limits their realistic chances. Considering the higher shot volume, superior conversion 13% vs 5%, possession advantage and stronger home defense, I project a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis indicates a preference for the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario — 62% vs 38% for 'No'. Alta scores an average of 2.17 goals per home match and has a season BTTS rate of 67%; the percentage of matches in which Alta failed to score is 0%, so the hosts virtually always find the net. Spokane averages 0.50 goals per game for the season and fails to score in 50% of matches; its finishing rate is only 5% versus Alta's 20%, however in the last 5 matches Spokane has scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) and recorded BTTS in 60% of those fixtures. Both teams have season xG of 1.33, and the league records BTTS in 57% of matches, which shows the visitors can create chances despite low conversion and have a realistic chance to score. Considering Alta's 67% home BTTS, Spokane's 60% BTTS in the last 5, and that Alta concedes an average of 0.67 goals per home match, I choose 'BTTS - Yes' as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.55 for Alta and 1.15 for Spokane, totaling 2.70; this is based on both teams' xG at 1.33 and a conversion gap: Alta averages 2.17 goals per game with a 20% shot conversion rate, while Spokane averages only 0.50 goals per game with a 5% conversion. Alta records 67% of matches over 1.5 and 67% over 2.5, whereas Spokane has 75% over 1.5 and 50% over 2.5; additionally the league average goals is 2.84, which supports expecting at least two goals. With an assumed total of 2.70 goals, Poisson distribution calculations give probability of at least 2 goals around 75%, at least 3 goals around 51%, and at least 4 goals around 29%. The strongest signal is therefore a bet on Over 1.5 (over), since the model and seasonal percentages give ~75% chance, and Alta also shows high finishing efficiency. Over 2.5 (~51%) is only a slight favorite and less secure, while Over 3.5 (~29%) is too risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics clearly favor Alta: the home side average 2.17 goals per match versus Spokane’s 0.5 and have a 100.0% win rate this season (seasonPPG_home 3.0 vs seasonPPG_away 0.5), indicating a significant advantage. At half-time Alta averages 1.17 goals (scoredAVGHT_home 1.17) versus the opponents’ 0.5 and led at the break in 3 of 6 matches (50.0%), so an HT with them leading is realistic. In the second half the hosts are even stronger: on average 1.0 goal after the break (scored_2hg_avg_home 1.0) and 100.0% of matches with a goal after half-time (over05_2hg_percentage_home 100.0) compared to 0.0 and 75.0% for Spokane, with points gained after half-time 13 vs 1 (points_2hg_home 13 vs points_2hg_away 1). Alta’s higher shot conversion rate of 20.0% versus 5.0% and the lower average goals conceded by half-time (concededAVGHT_home 0.33 vs concededAVGHT_away 0.75) increase the likelihood of holding the lead, hence the recommendation HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alta | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alta is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Alta · 2 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alta is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Alta · 1.5 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
Spokane Velocity is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Alta · 1.1 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
Alta scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Spokane Velocity scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Alta keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alta
Over / Under - Spokane Velocity
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spokane Velocity is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Alta · 1.9 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alta
Spokane Velocity
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Alta | Liga | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 59% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 82% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Alta 0 - 1 - 3 Spokane Velocity. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alta vs Spokane Velocity?
The USL League One match finished Alta 1:0 Spokane Velocity. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alta and Spokane Velocity?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Alta won 0, Spokane Velocity won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alta vs Spokane Velocity?
Alta score 1.64 goals per game on average and Spokane Velocity 1.50. The USL League One average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Alta's matches and 60% of Spokane Velocity's.
What form are Alta and Spokane Velocity in?
Over the last 5 games Alta have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Spokane Velocity 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alta vs Spokane Velocity?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alta vs Spokane Velocity: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.