Altay vs Kairat: match statistics
Altay presents definitely better form in the last five matches, earning 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws) with a goal difference of 9:3, giving them 1.8 points per match. Kairat is in fatal disposition, losing four of the last five meetings and conceding as many as 13 goals with only 7 scored, which translates to a dramatic 0.2 points per match. The difference in goal difference in recent matches (+6 for Altay versus -6 for Kairat) clearly indicates the hosts' advantage. Altay's solid unbeaten run in the last five matches and Kairat's complete lack of victories in the same period suggest a clear advantage for the hosts. Considering all these factors, an Altay victory is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Altay vs Kairat: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Altay play Kairat in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Altay: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kairat: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Altay scores 0.79 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Kairat scores 1.95 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Altay 47%, Kairat 55%. Over 2.5: Altay 32%, Kairat 55%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Kairat has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.23. Altay: 10.7 shots per match, Kairat: 15.8.
Match halves
Altay: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.58. Kairat: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Altay: 76-90+ (7 goals). Kairat: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Altay presents definitely better form in the last five matches, earning 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws) with a goal difference of 9:3, giving them 1.8 points per match. Kairat is in fatal disposition, losing four of the last five meetings and conceding as many as 13 goals with only 7 scored, which translates to a dramatic 0.2 points per match. The difference in goal difference in recent matches (+6 for Altay versus -6 for Kairat) clearly indicates the hosts' advantage. Altay's solid unbeaten run in the last five matches and Kairat's complete lack of victories in the same period suggest a clear advantage for the hosts. Considering all these factors, an Altay victory is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Altay | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kairat is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Altay · 3 pts / match - Kairat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kairat is 147% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Altay · 1.95 goals / match - Kairat
Kairat is 96% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Altay · 0.7 goals / match - Kairat
Altay scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Kairat scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Altay
Over / Under — Kairat
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kairat is 157% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.68 pts / match - Altay · 1.75 pts / match - Kairat
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Altay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Altay
Kairat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Altay | Liga | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.16 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 44% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 64% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Altay vs Kairat?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Altay 0:1 Kairat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Altay vs Kairat?
Altay score 0.79 goals per game on average and Kairat 1.95. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Altay's matches and 55% of Kairat's.
What form are Altay and Kairat in?
Over the last 5 games Altay have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kairat 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altay vs Kairat?
The statistical background for Altay vs Kairat — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.