Altay vs Yelimay Semey: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Altay vs Yelimay Semey: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Altay play Yelimay Semey in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 25 October 2026.
Current form
Altay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Yelimay Semey: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Altay scores 0.96 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Yelimay Semey scores 1.43 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Altay 54%, Yelimay Semey 64%. Over 2.5: Altay 43%, Yelimay Semey 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Yelimay Semey has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.32. Altay: 11.5 shots per match, Yelimay Semey: 13.2.
Match halves
Altay: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.68. Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Altay: 76-90+ (10 goals). Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Altay | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yelimay Semey is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Altay · 2.4 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yelimay Semey is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Altay · 1.43 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Yelimay Semey is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Altay · 1.36 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Altay scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Yelimay Semey scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Altay
Over / Under - Yelimay Semey
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yelimay Semey is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Altay · 1.36 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Altay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Altay
Yelimay Semey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Altay | Liga | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 55% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Altay 0 - 1 - 0 Yelimay Semey. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Altay and Yelimay Semey play?
Altay face Yelimay Semey on 25 October 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Altay vs Yelimay Semey?
Altay score 0.96 goals per game on average and Yelimay Semey 1.43. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Altay's matches and 64% of Yelimay Semey's.
What form are Altay and Yelimay Semey in?
Over the last 5 games Altay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Yelimay Semey 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altay vs Yelimay Semey?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


