Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueData current as of 21 October 2026

Altay vs Yelimay Semey: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Altay vs Yelimay Semey: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Altay play Yelimay Semey in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

Altay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Yelimay Semey: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Altay scores 0.96 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Yelimay Semey scores 1.43 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Altay 54%, Yelimay Semey 64%. Over 2.5: Altay 43%, Yelimay Semey 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Yelimay Semey has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.32. Altay: 11.5 shots per match, Yelimay Semey: 13.2.

Match halves

Altay: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.68. Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Altay: 76-90+ (10 goals). Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AltayYelimay Semey
0.96Goals scored / match1.43
AltayYelimay Semey
1.46Goals conceded / match1.36
AltayYelimay Semey
42%Average possession51%
AltayYelimay Semey
4.14Shots on target / match4.93
AltayYelimay Semey

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.46Shots per match13.18
AltayYelimay Semey
4.14Shots on target4.93
AltayYelimay Semey
8.4%Shot conversion10.8%
AltayYelimay Semey
42%Possession51%
AltayYelimay Semey
1.32xG for1.6
AltayYelimay Semey
1.54xG against1.17
AltayYelimay Semey

Shooting quality

Altay: BalancedYelimay Semey: Balanced
AltayYelimay Semey
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Yelimay Semey is 71% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Altay · 2.4 pts / match - Yelimay Semey

Altay
WWLLD
Season result split
18% W32% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-9-14
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-7-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Yelimay Semey
WWLWW
Season result split
43% W29% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-8
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Yelimay Semey is 49% better for: goals scored per match.

0.96 goals / match - Altay · 1.43 goals / match - Yelimay Semey

Yelimay Semey is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.46 goals / match - Altay · 1.36 goals / match - Yelimay Semey

Altay scoring profile: very strong

Altay scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).

Yelimay Semey scoring profile: very strong

Yelimay Semey scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).

27Goals scored (season)40
AltayYelimay Semey
41Goals conceded (season)38
AltayYelimay Semey
2.43Average goals in match2.79
AltayYelimay Semey
8Goals scored (last 5)9
AltayYelimay Semey
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
AltayYelimay Semey

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal82%
AltayYelimay Semey
21%2 goals46%
AltayYelimay Semey
7%3 goals11%
AltayYelimay Semey
0%4 goals4%
AltayYelimay Semey

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal79%
AltayYelimay Semey
39%2 goals39%
AltayYelimay Semey
21%3 goals14%
AltayYelimay Semey
11%4 goals4%
AltayYelimay Semey

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time18%
AltayYelimay Semey
0%BTTS in both halves4%
AltayYelimay Semey
4%Scored in both halves18%
AltayYelimay Semey

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
AltayYelimay Semey
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
AltayYelimay Semey
60%BTTS - last 580%
AltayYelimay Semey

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
AltayYelimay Semey
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
AltayYelimay Semey
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
AltayYelimay Semey

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
AltayYelimay Semey
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
AltayYelimay Semey
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
AltayYelimay Semey

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Yelimay Semey is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - Altay · 1.36 pts / match - Yelimay Semey

Altay - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing
Yelimay Semey - half-time state
36% leading29% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.36
AltayYelimay Semey
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.57
AltayYelimay Semey
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
AltayYelimay Semey
0.96Average goals (1st half)1.21
AltayYelimay Semey
50%Clean sheet before half-time54%
AltayYelimay Semey
71%No goal before half-time54%
AltayYelimay Semey

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.29
AltayYelimay Semey
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
AltayYelimay Semey
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
AltayYelimay Semey
1.46Average goals (2nd half)1.57
AltayYelimay Semey
46%Clean sheet after half-time43%
AltayYelimay Semey
57%No goal after half-time46%
AltayYelimay Semey

Altay - second-half results

29% W39% D32% L
24
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Yelimay Semey - second-half results

32% W32% D36% L
38
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Altay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Yelimay Semey - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.80
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Altay
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
8
31-45
3
5
46-60
6
7
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Yelimay Semey
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
7
3
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
5
46-60
6
6
61-75
14
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Altay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

Yelimay Semey

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

AltayLigaYelimay Semey
Average goals in match▼ 2.432.54▲ 2.79
Both teams scored• 54%55%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%50%▲ 57%
Clean sheets• 25%26%▼ 21%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%68%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%76%▲ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Altay 0 - 1 - 0 Yelimay Semey. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Altay and Yelimay Semey play?

Altay face Yelimay Semey on 25 October 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Altay vs Yelimay Semey?

Altay score 0.96 goals per game on average and Yelimay Semey 1.43. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Altay's matches and 64% of Yelimay Semey's.

What form are Altay and Yelimay Semey in?

Over the last 5 games Altay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Yelimay Semey 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altay vs Yelimay Semey?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.