England - National LeagueThe J. Davidson StadiumData current as of 23 September 2026

Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Altrincham play AFC Hornchurch in National League (England). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: The J. Davidson Stadium.

Current form

Altrincham: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. AFC Hornchurch: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Altrincham scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. AFC Hornchurch scores 1.22 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Altrincham 78%, AFC Hornchurch 33%. Over 2.5: Altrincham 78%, AFC Hornchurch 56%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

AFC Hornchurch has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.20. Altrincham: 8.4 shots per match, AFC Hornchurch: 9.8.

Match halves

Altrincham: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. AFC Hornchurch: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Altrincham: 0-15 (3 goals). AFC Hornchurch: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.96)
(3.40)
(3.32)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
1.33Goals scored / match1.22
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
1.67Goals conceded / match1.33
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
50%Average possession37%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
3.56Shots on target / match4
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.44Shots per match9.78
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
3.56Shots on target4
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
15.8%Shot conversion12.5%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
50%Possession37%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
1.2xG for1.3
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
1.55xG against1.6
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

Shooting quality

Altrincham: Efficient finishingAFC Hornchurch: Counter-attacking
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
Accuracy (shots on target)42%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Altrincham is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Altrincham · 1.2 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch

Altrincham
WWLWW
Season result split
56% W0% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
LWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
AFC Hornchurch
WLLLW
Season result split
56% W0% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Altrincham is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Altrincham · 1.22 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch

AFC Hornchurch is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Altrincham · 1.33 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch

Altrincham scoring profile: very strong

Altrincham scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while AFC Hornchurch keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

AFC Hornchurch scoring profile: very strong

AFC Hornchurch scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Altrincham keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

12Goals scored (season)11
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
15Goals conceded (season)12
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
3Average goals in match2.56
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
9Goals scored (last 5)4
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal67%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
56%2 goals33%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
0%3 goals22%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
0%4 goals0%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
22%2 goals33%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
22%3 goals22%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
11%4 goals11%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

56%BTTS at half-time11%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
22%Scored in both halves11%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

BTTS and goal count

78%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
100%BTTS - last 520%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Altrincham is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Altrincham · 0.67 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch

Altrincham - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing
AFC Hornchurch - half-time state
11% leading33% draw56% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)0.67
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.44
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
1.78Average goals (1st half)1.11
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
33%Clean sheet before half-time44%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
33%No goal before half-time78%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.67
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.44
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
44%Clean sheet after half-time67%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
67%No goal after half-time44%
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch

Altrincham - second-half results

33% W22% D44% L
11
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding255%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AFC Hornchurch - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding509%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Altrincham - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5
AFC Hornchurch - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Altrincham
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

AFC Hornchurch
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Altrincham

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

AFC Hornchurch

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

AltrinchamLigaAFC Hornchurch
Average goals in match 3.003.01 2.56
Both teams scored 78%66% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 78%60% 56%
Clean sheets 0%18% 33%
Goal before half-time 78%71% 67%
Goal after half-time 78%87% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.01
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Altrincham and AFC Hornchurch play?

Altrincham face AFC Hornchurch on 26 September 2026 in National League at The J. Davidson Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?

Altrincham score 1.33 goals per game on average and AFC Hornchurch 1.22. The National League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Altrincham's matches and 33% of AFC Hornchurch's.

What form are Altrincham and AFC Hornchurch in?

Over the last 5 games Altrincham have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and AFC Hornchurch 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.