Altrincham vs Wealdstone: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Although Altrincham occupies a lower position in the table (18th place), they present decent form in home matches with 44% wins and an average of 1.44 goals per match. Wealdstone (11th place) has better overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), but performs poorly away – just 20% wins and a negative goal difference of -9. A key factor is that both teams have similar xG indicators (Altrincham 1.61 vs Wealdstone 1.46) and high draw percentages (Altrincham 6% at home, Wealdstone 33% away). The recent form of both teams is unstable, which further argues for a sharing of points. Considering the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' better overall disposition, a draw seems the most logical outcome of this meeting.
Altrincham vs Wealdstone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Altrincham played Wealdstone in National League (England). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Altrincham: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Wealdstone: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Altrincham scores 1.13 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Wealdstone scores 1.32 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Altrincham 65%, Wealdstone 61%. Over 2.5: Altrincham 61%, Wealdstone 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Altrincham has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.51. Altrincham: 11.7 shots per match, Wealdstone: 11.9.
Match halves
Altrincham: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58. Wealdstone: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Altrincham: 76-90+ (8 goals). Wealdstone: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Although Altrincham occupies a lower position in the table (18th place), they present decent form in home matches with 44% wins and an average of 1.44 goals per match. Wealdstone (11th place) has better overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), but performs poorly away – just 20% wins and a negative goal difference of -9. A key factor is that both teams have similar xG indicators (Altrincham 1.61 vs Wealdstone 1.46) and high draw percentages (Altrincham 6% at home, Wealdstone 33% away). The recent form of both teams is unstable, which further argues for a sharing of points. Considering the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' better overall disposition, a draw seems the most logical outcome of this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Altrincham | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Altrincham is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Altrincham · 0.8 pts / match - Wealdstone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wealdstone is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Altrincham · 1.32 goals / match - Wealdstone
Altrincham scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Wealdstone keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Wealdstone scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Altrincham keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Altrincham
Over / Under - Wealdstone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Altrincham is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Altrincham · 0.75 pts / match - Wealdstone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Altrincham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wealdstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Altrincham
Wealdstone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Altrincham | Liga | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.68 | 2.82 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Altrincham 0 - 1 - 0 Wealdstone. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Altrincham vs Wealdstone?
The National League match finished Altrincham 1:0 Wealdstone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Altrincham vs Wealdstone?
Altrincham score 1.13 goals per game on average and Wealdstone 1.32. The National League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Altrincham's matches and 61% of Wealdstone's.
What form are Altrincham and Wealdstone in?
Over the last 5 games Altrincham have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Wealdstone 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altrincham vs Wealdstone?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.