Aluminij vs Celje: match statistics
Celje are the clear favorite in this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 15 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats. The visitors have been unbeaten away from home for a considerable time, winning 64% of their away matches and scoring an average of 2.82 goals per game. Aluminij are in poor home form with just a 30% win rate and a negative goal difference (-4), losing 50% of their home matches. The difference in ball possession quality (49% vs 63%) and shooting accuracy (14% vs 21%) further favors Celje. Considering that Celje have not had a single away game without scoring this season, we expect them to secure a confident victory, although the hosts' decent scoring form could make the match more open than the class difference suggests.
Aluminij vs Celje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aluminij played Celje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Aluminij: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Celje: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aluminij scores 1.50 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Celje scores 2.52 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aluminij 77%, Celje 57%. Over 2.5: Aluminij 77%, Celje 74%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Celje has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.40. Aluminij: 10.1 shots per match, Celje: 15.3.
Match halves
Aluminij: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.95. Celje: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.52.
Goals by minute
Aluminij: 76-90+ (15 goals). Celje: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celje are the clear favorite in this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 15 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats. The visitors have been unbeaten away from home for a considerable time, winning 64% of their away matches and scoring an average of 2.82 goals per game. Aluminij are in poor home form with just a 30% win rate and a negative goal difference (-4), losing 50% of their home matches. The difference in ball possession quality (49% vs 63%) and shooting accuracy (14% vs 21%) further favors Celje. Considering that Celje have not had a single away game without scoring this season, we expect them to secure a confident victory, although the hosts' decent scoring form could make the match more open than the class difference suggests.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aluminij | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celje is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Aluminij · 1.4 pts / match - Celje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Aluminij · 2.52 goals / match - Celje
Celje is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Aluminij · 1 goals / match - Celje
Aluminij scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Celje scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aluminij
Over / Under - Celje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Aluminij · 1.74 pts / match - Celje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Celje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aluminij
Celje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Aluminij | Liga | Celje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.23 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aluminij 0 - 0 - 2 Celje. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aluminij vs Celje?
The PrvaLiga match finished Aluminij 2:1 Celje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aluminij and Celje?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 0, Celje won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aluminij vs Celje?
Aluminij score 1.50 goals per game on average and Celje 2.52. The PrvaLiga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Aluminij's matches and 57% of Celje's.
What form are Aluminij and Celje in?
Over the last 5 games Aluminij have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Celje 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aluminij vs Celje?
The statistical background for Aluminij vs Celje — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.